Recommendations on North Korea Policy and Extended Deterrence

Recommendations on North Korea Policy and Extended Deterrence
Author: Center for Strategic and International Studies (Washington, D.C.). Commission on the Korean Peninsula
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023
Genre: Deterrence (Strategy)
ISBN:

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North Korea policy is famously known as the "land of lousy options." Currently, North Korea's nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs look unstoppable. Decades of failed denuclearization diplomacy, however, cannot deter the allies from seeking new avenues of engagement with the modest goal of slowing down the program's growth. Failing that objective, the United States must be cognizant that contingency planning, enhanced military readiness, and strengthened extended deterrence measures with South Korea and Japan serve to make U.S. alliances in Asia stronger, which in turn impose costs on North Korea for its proliferation behavior.

North Korea and Nuclear Weapons

North Korea and Nuclear Weapons
Author: Sung Chull Kim
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
Total Pages: 236
Release: 2017-05-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1626164541

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North Korea is perilously close to developing strategic nuclear weapons capable of hitting the United States and its East Asian allies. Since their first nuclear test in 2006, North Korea has struggled to perfect the required delivery systems. Kim Jong-un’s regime now appears to be close, however. Sung Chull Kim, Michael D. Cohen, and the volume contributors contend that the time to prevent North Korea from achieving this capability is virtually over; scholars and policymakers must turn their attention to how to deter a nuclear North Korea. The United States, South Korea, and Japan must also come to terms with the fact that North Korea will be able to deter them with its nuclear arsenal. How will the erratic Kim Jong-un behave when North Korea develops the capability to hit medium- and long-range targets with nuclear weapons? How will and should the United States, South Korea, Japan, and China respond, and what will this mean for regional stability in the short term and long term? The international group of authors in this volume address these questions and offer a timely analysis of the consequences of an operational North Korean nuclear capability for international security.

A Comprehensive Approach to North Korea

A Comprehensive Approach to North Korea
Author: Richard Lee Armitage
Publisher:
Total Pages: 6
Release: 1999
Genre: Electronic government information
ISBN:

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Since the Agreed Framework (AF) was signed by the United States and North Korea on October 21, 1994, the security situation on the Korean peninsula and in Northeast Asia has changed qualitatively for the worse. The discovery last year of a suspect North Korean nuclear site and the August 31 launch of a Taepo Dong missile have combined to raise fundamental questions about Pyongyang's intentions, its commitment to the agreement, and the possibility of North-South reconciliation. These developments also raise profound questions about the sustainability of current U.S. policy toward the Korean peninsula.

North Korea

North Korea
Author: James J. Przystup
Publisher:
Total Pages: 6
Release: 2009
Genre: Korea (North)
ISBN:

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"North Korea poses two distinct but interrelated challenges. The first is external: the challenge posed by its nuclear weapons program and the threat of proliferation off the Korean Peninsula. The second is essentially but not wholly internal: the challenge posed by the pending transfer of power in Pyongyang and potential for instability as the process plays out. This complex reality underscores the need for balance and strategic patience if the twin dangers of proliferation and instability on the peninsula are to be successfully managed. U.S. national security interests on the Korean Peninsula are focused on deterrence of North Korea, defense of the Republic of Korea (ROK) if deterrence should fail, and support for Korean unification under the ROK. The United States also has a national security interest in North Korea's stability. This interest should not be mistaken as support for the Pyongyang regime, but given the risks posed by its nuclear weapons program, instability could result in the loss of command and control over those weapons and increase the risk of proliferation. The Six-Party Talks aimed at the denuclearization of North Korea are currently suspended. Nevertheless, diplomacy with North Korea will likely resume at some point but be protracted in nature. The policy challenge is what to do while the diplomacy plays out. The United States, the ROK, and Japan are acting correctly by maintaining close and effective policy coordination. The goal of U.S. diplomacy remains denuclearization. This will take time, and our security strategy must deal with the world as it is. The commitment of the administration of President Barack Obama to extended deterrence is critical in supporting both U.S. diplomatic and security strategy and its allies."--Page 1.

Extended Deterrence in Korea

Extended Deterrence in Korea
Author: Terence Jerome Roehrig
Publisher:
Total Pages: 374
Release: 1995
Genre: Deterrence (Strategy)
ISBN:

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U.S. Nonproliferation Policy Towards North Korea: Nuclear Program, Dprk Belligerent Acts and American Responses, Potential for Military Action, New Ty

U.S. Nonproliferation Policy Towards North Korea: Nuclear Program, Dprk Belligerent Acts and American Responses, Potential for Military Action, New Ty
Author: U. S. Military
Publisher: Independently Published
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2017-03-30
Genre: History
ISBN: 9781520959481

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The United States policy for dealing with a nuclear North Korea has been a combination of containment, deterrence, and limited engagement since 1994. While this policy has prevented war on the Korean peninsula, it has not prevented North Korea from developing a nuclear program and proliferating this technology, as well as missile technology, to numerous countries not friendly to the United States. In order to stop North Korea from transferring weapons technology, the United States needs a new strategic concept. This paper will examine four options that may be used to support the element of the U.S. National Security Strategy of preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons.The United States policy for dealing with a nuclear North Korea has been a combination of containment, deterrence, and limited engagement since the enactment of the 1994 Agreed Framework. While this and earlier policies have prevented war on the Korean peninsula, such approaches have not prevented North Korea from developing a nuclear program and proliferating this technology, as well as missile technology, to numerous countries not friendly to the United States. In order to stop North Korea from transferring weapons technology, the United States needs a new strategic concept. This paper will examine four options that may be used to support the element of the U.S. National Security Strategy of preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons.The question is if current U.S. policy has prevented North Korea from developing a nuclear program and exporting its technology to other countries. The answer is no. Even though one of North Korea's demands is to be removed from the list of state sponsored of terrorism, the North has not complied by following policies that would lead to that removal. Gregory J. Moore states that "the United States did not prevent North Korea from acquiring and testing nuclear weapons, despite its deterrent strategies, its diplomatic efforts, its ultimatums, and U.S.-sponsored UN Security Council resolutions against it." There are signs that the North should comply with the non-proliferation treaty. Gregory L. Schulte writes that, "Since the first atomic bomb was assembled, 18 countries have chosen to dismantle their nuclear weapons programs. Countries such as Argentina, Libya, South Africa, and Switzerland made this decision for a variety reasons, but foremost among them was the desire to improve their international standing. Another important factor was foreign pressure, especially from the United States." However, since the 1994 Agreed Framework, North Korea has not complied with any agreements they have made. Hence, the six-party talks are an example of failed American diplomacy.

Countering the Risks of North Korean Nuclear Weapons

Countering the Risks of North Korean Nuclear Weapons
Author: Bruce W. Bennett
Publisher:
Total Pages: 118
Release: 2021-04-12
Genre: History
ISBN: 9781977406767

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The authors argue that the United States and the Republic of Korea (ROK) should pursue firm deterrence of North Korean nuclear weapon use--which might soon pose a serious threat to the United States and the ROK--rather than relying on negotiations.

Defense Against the Dark Arts in Space

Defense Against the Dark Arts in Space
Author: Todd Harrison
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 53
Release: 2021-10-20
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1538140322

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The proliferation of counterspace weapons across the globe often calls into question what can be done to best protect satellites from attack. This analysis from the CSIS Aerospace Security Project addresses different methods and technologies that can be used by the United States government, and others, to deter adversaries from attack. A wide range of active and passive defenses are available to protect space systems and the ground infrastructure they depend upon from different types of threats. This report captures a range of active and passive defenses that are theoretically possible and discusses the advantages and limitations of each. A group of technical space and national security experts supported the analysis by working through several plausible scenarios that explore a range of defenses that may be needed, concepts for employing different types of defenses, and how defensive actions in space may be perceived by others. These scenarios and the findings that resulted from subsequent conversations with experts are reported in the penultimate chapter of the report. Finally, the CSIS Aerospace Security Project team offers conclusions drawn from the analysis, actionable recommendations for policymakers, and additional research topics to be explored in future work.

Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era

Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era
Author: Vipin Narang
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 356
Release: 2014-05-25
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0691159831

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The world is in a second nuclear age in which regional powers play an increasingly prominent role. These states have small nuclear arsenals, often face multiple active conflicts, and sometimes have weak institutions. How do these nuclear states—and potential future ones—manage their nuclear forces and influence international conflict? Examining the reasoning and deterrence consequences of regional power nuclear strategies, this book demonstrates that these strategies matter greatly to international stability and it provides new insights into conflict dynamics across important areas of the world such as the Middle East, East Asia, and South Asia. Vipin Narang identifies the diversity of regional power nuclear strategies and describes in detail the posture each regional power has adopted over time. Developing a theory for the sources of regional power nuclear strategies, he offers the first systematic explanation of why states choose the postures they do and under what conditions they might shift strategies. Narang then analyzes the effects of these choices on a state's ability to deter conflict. Using both quantitative and qualitative analysis, he shows that, contrary to a bedrock article of faith in the canon of nuclear deterrence, the acquisition of nuclear weapons does not produce a uniform deterrent effect against opponents. Rather, some postures deter conflict more successfully than others. Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era considers the range of nuclear choices made by regional powers and the critical challenges they pose to modern international security.