Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk

Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk
Author: Richard Berk
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 121
Release: 2012-04-06
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1461430852

Download Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Machine learning and nonparametric function estimation procedures can be effectively used in forecasting. One important and current application is used to make forecasts of “future dangerousness" to inform criminal justice decision. Examples include the decision to release an individual on parole, determination of the parole conditions, bail recommendations, and sentencing. Since the 1920s, "risk assessments" of various kinds have been used in parole hearings, but the current availability of large administrative data bases, inexpensive computing power, and developments in statistics and computer science have increased their accuracy and applicability. In this book, these developments are considered with particular emphasis on the statistical and computer science tools, under the rubric of supervised learning, that can dramatically improve these kinds of forecasts in criminal justice settings. The intended audience is researchers in the social sciences and data analysts in criminal justice agencies.

Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings

Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings
Author: Richard Berk
Publisher:
Total Pages: 178
Release: 2019
Genre: Machine learning
ISBN: 9783030022730

Download Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book puts in one place and in accessible form Richard Berk's most recent work on forecasts of re-offending by individuals already in criminal justice custody. Using machine learning statistical procedures trained on very large datasets, an explicit introduction of the relative costs of forecasting errors as the forecasts are constructed, and an emphasis on maximizing forecasting accuracy, the author shows how his decades of research on the topic improves forecasts of risk. Criminal justice risk forecasts anticipate the future behavior of specified individuals, rather than "predictive policing" for locations in time and space, which is a very different enterprise that uses different data different data analysis tools. The audience for this book includes graduate students and researchers in the social sciences, and data analysts in criminal justice agencies. Formal mathematics is used only as necessary or in concert with more intuitive explanations.

Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings

Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings
Author: Richard Berk
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 178
Release: 2018-12-13
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3030022722

Download Machine Learning Risk Assessments in Criminal Justice Settings Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book puts in one place and in accessible form Richard Berk’s most recent work on forecasts of re-offending by individuals already in criminal justice custody. Using machine learning statistical procedures trained on very large datasets, an explicit introduction of the relative costs of forecasting errors as the forecasts are constructed, and an emphasis on maximizing forecasting accuracy, the author shows how his decades of research on the topic improves forecasts of risk. Criminal justice risk forecasts anticipate the future behavior of specified individuals, rather than “predictive policing” for locations in time and space, which is a very different enterprise that uses different data different data analysis tools. The audience for this book includes graduate students and researchers in the social sciences, and data analysts in criminal justice agencies. Formal mathematics is used only as necessary or in concert with more intuitive explanations.

The Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice, 2 Volume Set

The Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice, 2 Volume Set
Author: J. C. Barnes
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 967
Release: 2021-09-08
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1119110726

Download The Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice, 2 Volume Set Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The Encyclopedia of RESEARCH METHODS IN CRIMINOLOGY & CRIMINAL JUSTICE The most comprehensive reference work on research designs and methods in criminology and criminal justice This Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice offers a comprehensive survey of research methodologies and statistical techniques that are popular in criminology and criminal justice systems across the globe. With contributions from leading scholars and practitioners in the field, it offers a clear insight into the techniques that are currently in use to answer the pressing questions in criminology and criminal justice. The Encyclopedia contains essential information from a diverse pool of authors about research designs grounded in both qualitative and quantitative approaches. It includes information on popular datasets and leading resources of government statistics. In addition, the contributors cover a wide range of topics such as: the most current research on the link between guns and crime, rational choice theory, and the use of technology like geospatial mapping as a crime reduction tool. This invaluable reference work: Offers a comprehensive survey of international research designs, methods, and statistical techniques Includes contributions from leading figures in the field Contains data on criminology and criminal justice from Cambridge to Chicago Presents information on capital punishment, domestic violence, crime science, and much more Helps us to better understand, explain, and prevent crime Written for undergraduate students, graduate students, and researchers, The Encyclopedia of Research Methods in Criminology and Criminal Justice is the first reference work of its kind to offer a comprehensive review of this important topic.

Risk Terrain Modeling

Risk Terrain Modeling
Author: Joel M. Caplan
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Total Pages: 171
Release: 2016-06-28
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0520958802

Download Risk Terrain Modeling Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Imagine using an evidence-based risk management model that enables researchers and practitioners alike to analyze the spatial dynamics of crime, allocate resources, and implement custom crime and risk reduction strategies that are transparent, measurable, and effective. Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) diagnoses the spatial attractors of criminal behavior and makes accurate forecasts of where crime will occur at the microlevel. RTM informs decisions about how the combined factors that contribute to criminal behavior can be targeted, connections to crime can be monitored, spatial vulnerabilities can be assessed, and actions can be taken to reduce worst effects. As a diagnostic method, RTM offers a statistically valid way to identify vulnerable places. To learn more, visit http://www.riskterrainmodeling.com and begin using RTM with the many free tutorials and resources.

Predictive Policing and Artificial Intelligence

Predictive Policing and Artificial Intelligence
Author: John McDaniel
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 452
Release: 2021-02-25
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 0429560389

Download Predictive Policing and Artificial Intelligence Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This edited text draws together the insights of numerous worldwide eminent academics to evaluate the condition of predictive policing and artificial intelligence (AI) as interlocked policy areas. Predictive and AI technologies are growing in prominence and at an unprecedented rate. Powerful digital crime mapping tools are being used to identify crime hotspots in real-time, as pattern-matching and search algorithms are sorting through huge police databases populated by growing volumes of data in an eff ort to identify people liable to experience (or commit) crime, places likely to host it, and variables associated with its solvability. Facial and vehicle recognition cameras are locating criminals as they move, while police services develop strategies informed by machine learning and other kinds of predictive analytics. Many of these innovations are features of modern policing in the UK, the US and Australia, among other jurisdictions. AI promises to reduce unnecessary labour, speed up various forms of police work, encourage police forces to more efficiently apportion their resources, and enable police officers to prevent crime and protect people from a variety of future harms. However, the promises of predictive and AI technologies and innovations do not always match reality. They often have significant weaknesses, come at a considerable cost and require challenging trade- off s to be made. Focusing on the UK, the US and Australia, this book explores themes of choice architecture, decision- making, human rights, accountability and the rule of law, as well as future uses of AI and predictive technologies in various policing contexts. The text contributes to ongoing debates on the benefits and biases of predictive algorithms, big data sets, machine learning systems, and broader policing strategies and challenges. Written in a clear and direct style, this book will appeal to students and scholars of policing, criminology, crime science, sociology, computer science, cognitive psychology and all those interested in the emergence of AI as a feature of contemporary policing.

Predictive Policing

Predictive Policing
Author: Walt L. Perry
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Total Pages: 187
Release: 2013-09-23
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 0833081551

Download Predictive Policing Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Predictive policing is the use of analytical techniques to identify targets for police intervention with the goal of preventing crime, solving past crimes, or identifying potential offenders and victims. These tools are not a substitute for integrated approaches to policing, nor are they a crystal ball. This guide assesses some of the most promising technical tools and tactical approaches for acting on predictions in an effective way.

Crime and Risk

Crime and Risk
Author: Pat O'Malley
Publisher: SAGE Publications
Total Pages: 121
Release: 2010-05-05
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1847873510

Download Crime and Risk Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Crime and Risk presents a lively discussion of risk-taking and risk strategies in the domains of crime and criminal justice. It outlines the broad theoretical issues and political approaches involved, relating risk in contemporary crime governance to risk in criminal activity. Taking a broad and discursive approach, it covers: Risk-taking and contemporary culture The application of risk-oriented developments in crime prevention and control The use of genetic and related biotechnologies to assess and react to perceived threats The conceptualization of risk in relation to race and gender Evidence and accountability Challenging yet accessible, this innovative book will appeal to upper-level undergraduates, postgraduates, researchers and academics in Criminology, Criminal Justice, and Politics.

Crime, Risk and Justice

Crime, Risk and Justice
Author: Kevin Stenson
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 241
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Law
ISBN: 1135986355

Download Crime, Risk and Justice Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Crime control has risen rapidly up the social and political agendas to become a central feature of western societies. This book is concerned with issues arising from these developments. Top criminologists from Britain, the USA and Australia explore the links between crime and risk through a range of themes, from the depiction of crime in the media to the dilemmas of policing, to the new punitiveness of criminal justice systems and the custodial warehousing of the poor and excluded.

Crime and the Risk Society

Crime and the Risk Society
Author: Pat O'Malley
Publisher: Dartmouth Publishing Company
Total Pages: 524
Release: 1998
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Download Crime and the Risk Society Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The International library of Criminology, Criminal Justice and Penology is an important publishing initiative that brings together the most significant contemporary published journal essays in current criminology, criminal justice and penology.