Creating Alternative Futures
Author | : Hazel Henderson |
Publisher | : Cliffs Notes |
Total Pages | : 442 |
Release | : 1980 |
Genre | : Economic development |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Hazel Henderson |
Publisher | : Cliffs Notes |
Total Pages | : 442 |
Release | : 1980 |
Genre | : Economic development |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Hazel Henderson |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 21 |
Release | : 1979 |
Genre | : Economic development |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Carl Steinitz |
Publisher | : Island Press |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2003-01-01 |
Genre | : Architecture |
ISBN | : 9781559632249 |
Leading landscape architect and planner Carl Steinitz has developed an innovative GIS-based simulation modeling strategy that considers the demographic, economic, physical, and environmental processes of an area and projects the consequences to that area of various land-use planning and management decisions. The results of such projections, and the approach itself, are known as "alternative futures." Alternative Futures for Changing Landscapes presents for the first time in book form a detailed case study of one alternative futures project—an analysis of development and conservation options for the Upper San Pedro River Basin in Arizona and Sonora, Mexico. The area is internationally recognized for its high levels of biodiversity, and like many regions, it is facing increased pressures from nearby population centers, agriculture, and mining interests. Local officials and others planning for the future of the region are seeking to balance the needs of the natural environment with those of local human communities. The book describes how the research team, working with local stakeholders, developed a set of scenarios which encompassed public opinion on the major issues facing the area. They then simulated an array of possible patterns of land uses and assessed the resultant impacts on biodiversity and related environmental factors including vegetation, hydrology, and visual preference. The book gives a comprehensive overview of how the study was conducted, along with descriptions and analysis of the alternative futures that resulted. It includes more than 30 charts and graphs and more than 150 color figures. Scenario-based studies of alternative futures offer communities a powerful tool for making better-informed decisions today, which can help lead to an improved future. Alternative Futures for Changing Landscapes presents an important look at this promising approach and how it works for planners, landscape architects, local officials, and anyone involved with making land use decisions on local and regional scales.
Author | : William Harrison Boyer |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 170 |
Release | : 1975 |
Genre | : Forecasting |
ISBN | : |
Author | : W. van Eimeren |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 1444 |
Release | : 2012-12-06 |
Genre | : Medical |
ISBN | : 3642699391 |
In the early stages of planning the Third International Conference in System Science in Health Care, the steering committee members, most of whom had participated in the first conference in Paris (1976) and the second in Montreal (1980), made some basic decisions about organization of subject matter. The earlier meetings had been very successful in bringing together specialists from the health professions and the traditional sciences. In addition to physicians and nurses, these were representatives of the disciplines of the behavioral sciences, system theory, economics, engineering, and the emergency fields of management science and informatics -all concerned with the development of health resources in a broad system context. The reported research and experience of the many disciplines represented had dealt with one or more of three concerns: 1) a major health problem, such as cardiovascular disease, or an important popUlation at risk, such as the elderly or children or workers; 2) some generic aspect of organization and decision making, including trial and evaluation ofinnovative health strategies; and 3) the methodology of research and analysis in system of health service. The challenge to the conference organizers lay in the eliciting and arranging of experiences in such a way that the health services could be seen as purposeful,living, evolving systems.
Author | : James Robertson |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 158 |
Release | : 1978 |
Genre | : History |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Brita Schwarz |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 122 |
Release | : 2019-03-04 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 042971680X |
This book presents three examples of futures research that illustrate the problems of applying knowledge during the course of a futures research project, the ways in which different methodologies interact, and various means of combining and adapting methodological tools and techniques.
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 460 |
Release | : 1972 |
Genre | : Education |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Donald R. Kelley |
Publisher | : Rowman & Littlefield |
Total Pages | : 227 |
Release | : 2021-01-14 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1538127954 |
The world is becoming more complex, fraught with increasing possibilities for conflict over national rivalries, economic competition, and cultural and ideological fault lines. This clear-eyed text offers a structured and theoretically grounded way to think about the forces that animate change and the alternative futures they may create. Donald Kelley views both contemporary reality and the future we face through the perspective of four different paradigms that shape our way of thinking about the world: The nation-state paradigm, built on the assumption that the traditional Westphalian nation-state remains the key building block of the present and the future, which leads us to predict the future in terms of the nature and alignment of nation-states The economic paradigm, built on the assumption that economic factors are increasingly important, which leads us to see the future in terms of factors such as interdependence, globalization, and trade as well as the growing opposition to these developments and the prioritization of national economic needs The identity and culture paradigm, built on the distinct identities and cultures of nations and regions, which leads us to view the future in terms of conflicting culture-based communities transcending formal national or economic interests The ideology paradigm, based on a post-cold war reemergence of ideological conflict within and among nations, which leads us to view a world based on ideology-based conflict From these paradigms and their interactions, Kelley builds a series of possible alternative futures of the international system. His framework provides a unique way of looking at how and why the world is changing and the many different “futures”—some peaceful and productive, some warlike and destructive, and others simply dysfunctional—in which we might live.
Author | : Hazel Henderson |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 418 |
Release | : 1978 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |