Comparative Analysis of Labor Market Dynamics Using Markov Processes

Comparative Analysis of Labor Market Dynamics Using Markov Processes
Author: Mariano Bosch
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper discusses a set of statistics for examining labor market dynamics in developing countries and offers a simple search model that informs their interpretation. It then employs panel data from Argentina, Brazil and Mexico to generate a set of preliminary stylized facts about patterns of sectoral transition and duration. Finally, it nests two competing views of the informal sector within the model and uses variation in the statistics across age and the business cycle to help discriminate between them. The results suggest that a substantial part of the informal sector, particularly the self-employed, corresponds to voluntary entry, although informal salaried work may correspond more closely to the standard queuing view, especially for younger workers.

Labor Market Dynamics: A Hidden Markov Approach

Labor Market Dynamics: A Hidden Markov Approach
Author: Mr.Ippei Shibata
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 71
Release: 2019-12-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513524895

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This paper proposes a hidden state Markov model (HMM) that incorporates workers’ unobserved labor market attachment into the analysis of labor market dynamics. Unlike previous literature, which typically assumes that a worker’s observed labor force status follows a first-order Markov process, the proposed HMM allows workers with the same labor force status to have different history-dependent transition probabilities. I show that the estimated HMM generates labor market transition probabilities that match those observed in the data, while the first-order Markov model (FOM) and its many-state extensions cannot. Even compared with the extended FOM, the HMM improves the fit of the empirical transition probabilities by a factor of 30. I apply the HMM to (1) calculate the long-run consequences of separation from stable employment, (2) study evolutions of employment stability across different demographic groups over the past several decades, (3) compare the dynamics of labor market flows during the Great Recession to those during the 1981 recession, and (4) highlight the importance of looking beyond distributions of current labor force status.

Studies in Labor Market Dynamics

Studies in Labor Market Dynamics
Author: G. R. Neumann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 297
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 364288315X

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This volume consists of papers presented at a conference on labor mar ket theory held in August 1982 at Sandbjerg - a manor house situated in S0nderjylland owned by University of Aarhus. The conference was ar ranged to mark the start of a labor market research project utilizing the first Danish longitudinal data set. The conference was meant to present a survey of the recent developments within labor market theory where unemployment at a given time is seen as a result of flows of in dividuals between the various labor market states. Consequently, al most all papers deal with aspects of transitions on the labor market. The first paper by Andersen discusses from a statisticians point of view how it is possible to analyze longitudinal data on labor market dynamics using statistical models for multivariate counting processes. Models including general calendar time specific intensities and models specifying the distribution of spell lengths as well as their combina tions are included. Finally it is demonstrated how the effect of exo genous, endogenous, and other time dependent variables can be model led. This paper does also contain an example of the application of the model.

Informality

Informality
Author: Guillermo Perry
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 270
Release: 2007
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821370936

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Analyzes informality in Latin America, exploring root causes and reasons for and implications of its growth. This book uses two distinct but complementary lenses. It concludes that reducing informality levels and overcoming the "culture of informality" will require actions to increase aggregate productivity in the economy.

An Essay on Labor Market Dynamics

An Essay on Labor Market Dynamics
Author: William Franklin Shughart
Publisher:
Total Pages: 310
Release: 1978
Genre: Labor supply
ISBN:

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Nonlinear Labor Market Dynamics

Nonlinear Labor Market Dynamics
Author: Michael Neugart
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 766
Release: 2000-05-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9783540672791

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Nonlinear Labor Market Dynamics discusses adjustment processes in labor markets. Contrary to linear-stochastic approaches this book is based on a non-linear deterministic framework. It is shown that even textbook-like-models of the labor market can generate long lasting adjustment processes, local instabilities, and chaotic movements, once nonlinear relationships and widely accepted adjustment rules are introduced. Thus, labor market dynamics may have an endogenous component that is governed by a nonlinear deterministic core. Of course, all results are tied to the particular models discussed in this book. Nevertheless, these models imply that by incorporating nonlinear relationships, one may arrive at an explanation of labor market behavior where linear stochastic approaches fell. Time series studies for German labor market data support this point of view.

Data Analysis and Applications 2

Data Analysis and Applications 2
Author: Christos H. Skiadas
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 252
Release: 2019-03-04
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119579643

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This series of books collects a diverse array of work that provides the reader with theoretical and applied information on data analysis methods, models and techniques, along with appropriate applications. Volume 2 begins with an introductory chapter by Gilbert Saporta, a leading expert in the field, who summarizes the developments in data analysis over the last 50 years. The book is then divided into four parts: Part 1 examines (in)dependence relationships, innovation in the Nordic countries, dentistry journals, dependence among growth rates of GDP of V4 countries, emissions mitigation, and five-star ratings; Part 2 investigates access to credit for SMEs, gender-based impacts given Southern Europe’s economic crisis, and labor market transition probabilities; Part 3 looks at recruitment at university job-placement offices and the Program for International Student Assessment; and Part 4 examines discriminants, PageRank, and the political spectrum of Germany.