Changing Climate in Brazil: Key Vulnerabilities and Opportunities

Changing Climate in Brazil: Key Vulnerabilities and Opportunities
Author: Chen Chen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2024-08-30
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper assesses the Brazilian economy's exposure to climate change focusing on two key areas: agriculture and hydropower. While climate vulnerabilities are significant and recent patterns of land-use further amplify climate change risk, Brazil's opportunities for green growth are vast. Given geography and existing infrastructure, notably the very green energy mix, Brazil can boost its economic potential while mitigating a potential tradeoff between energy use, emissions, and growth. Policy options to address key vulnerabilities and leverage opportunities include boosting the Amazon's resilience via fiscal incentives for forest protection, investing in climate smart agriculture and insurance guided by sustainable feebates, continuing the diversification of renewable power generation, and stimulating green growth while greening the financial sector.

Climate Change Adaptation in Latin America

Climate Change Adaptation in Latin America
Author: Walter Leal Filho
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 534
Release: 2017-10-19
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3319569465

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This book showcases experiences from research, field projects and best practice in climate change adaptation in countries in the Latin American region, focusing on managing vulnerability and fostering resilience. It includes a selection of papers presented at a specialist symposium on climate change adaptation held in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil in November 2016.Consistent with the need for more cross-sectoral interaction among the various stakeholders working in the field of climate change adaptation in Latin America, the book documents and disseminates the wealth of experiences in the region. It is divided into two main parts: Part 1 addresses the current and future impacts of climate change on fauna, flora and landscapes, while Part 2 is concerned with the socio-economic aspects of climate change adaptation, analyzing some of the main problems prevailing in this vulnerable region and examining ways to address them.

Brazil and Climate Change

Brazil and Climate Change
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 282
Release: 2009
Genre: Brazil
ISBN: 9788560755165

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Climate Change in Santos Brazil: Projections, Impacts and Adaptation Options

Climate Change in Santos Brazil: Projections, Impacts and Adaptation Options
Author: Lucí Hidalgo Nunes
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 302
Release: 2018-11-23
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3319965352

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This book is the result of the project METROPOLE: An Integrated Framework to Analyse Local Decision Making and Adaptive Capacity to Large-Scale Environmental Change: Community Case Studies in Brazil, UK and the US, supported by the Belmont Forum-G8 Initiative Collaborative Research (Coastal Vulnerability, G8MUREFU3 2201-040). The Project METROPOLE was designed to address some important challenges of our time: on one hand, how to reduce the risks from climate change in coastal areas, in view of safeguarding life, assuring the safety of assets and the maintenance of rich ecosystems; and on the other hand, how to improve the interaction between scientists, decision makers and population for a common goal, to prevent alarming projections of sea level rise from being realized. This book focuses on the basis of the project which is anchored in the recognition of the importance of both dialogue and action on climate change involving different actors. Therefore, the participation of decision-makers, the population and representatives of civil and private organizations are key-elements in ensuring measures that might slow down, minimise or even restrict the perverse effects of climate change.

Climate Change Risks in Brazil

Climate Change Risks in Brazil
Author: Carlos A. Nobre
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 237
Release: 2018-09-25
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3319928813

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This book maps extreme temperature increase under dangerous climate change scenarios in Brazil and their impacts on four key sectors: agriculture, health, biodiversity and energy. The book draws on a careful review of the literature and climate projections, including relative risk estimates. This synthesis summarizes the state-of-the-art knowledge and provides decision-makers with risk analysis tools, to be incorporated in public planning policy, in order to understand climate events which may occur and which may have significant consequences.

Climate Change and Vulnerability of Ecosystem Services

Climate Change and Vulnerability of Ecosystem Services
Author: Sudhanshu Gupta
Publisher: Allied Publishers
Total Pages: 270
Release: 2010-09-14
Genre: Science
ISBN: 8184246145

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The unprecedented changes in the world, on account of climate change and growing demands of human population, pose serious challenge in managing the ecosystem related services of the country. The three countries, which are likely to be worst affected on account of increased vulnerability due to reduced ecosystem resilience are Brazil, China and India. This publication springs from an effort to analyze the driving forces, pressures and state of forests in the three countries, with special reference to policies addressing the natural resource management. The described frame work of DPSIR model has been used to compare and analyze the state of forests among the three countries to address the priorities for assessment, planning, management and action. The book would bring insight to managers, resource users and policy makers to review existing procedures and improve responses in the respective countries.

The Regional Impacts of Climate Change

The Regional Impacts of Climate Change
Author: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II.
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 532
Release: 1998
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9780521634557

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Cambridge, UK : Cambridge University Press, 1998.

Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems

Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems
Author: K.W. Hipel
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 1053
Release: 1994-04-07
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0080870368

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This is a comprehensive presentation of the theory and practice of time series modelling of environmental systems. A variety of time series models are explained and illustrated, including ARMA (autoregressive-moving average), nonstationary, long memory, three families of seasonal, multiple input-single output, intervention and multivariate ARMA models. Other topics in environmetrics covered in this book include time series analysis in decision making, estimating missing observations, simulation, the Hurst phenomenon, forecasting experiments and causality. Professionals working in fields overlapping with environmetrics - such as water resources engineers, environmental scientists, hydrologists, geophysicists, geographers, earth scientists and planners - will find this book a valuable resource. Equally, environmetrics, systems scientists, economists, mechanical engineers, chemical engineers, and management scientists will find the time series methods presented in this book useful.

Global Change and Regional Impacts

Global Change and Regional Impacts
Author: Thomas Gaiser
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 450
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3642556590

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Global climatic change will most likely affect natural resources and human living conditions in semiarid regions. This volume presents disciplinary as well as integrative methods to assess these impacts considering the interactions between climate variability and change, water availability, land-use systems, and quality of life. Taking the semiarid northeastern area of Brazil as an example, a wide range of expertise and knowledge (from integrated water analyses to transregional migration) is necessary to understand the complex relationship between natural and socio-economic systems. Tools to integrate this knowledge and make it available for the strategic planning of sustainable development are described. This book is a summary of the main research results and the presentations given at the final conference of the WAVES Program on June 25-26 2001 in Fortaleza (Brazil). From the reviews: "This book focuses on results from a joint German-Brazilian program (Water Availability and Vulnerability of Ecosystems and Society, or WAVES) to assess the socioeconomic impacts that global change will have on northeast Brazil. This book, divided into eight parts, describes the many factors that should be included in developing scenarios for future planning purposes. The book provides useful information concerning the complex multidisciplinary task of developing scenarios that can aid decision makers in formulating plans for sustainable development in an area that is highly vulnerable to climate variability and change. For someone who is unfamiliar with the semiarid northeast Brazil region, the book provides considerable useful background information." (Vernon E. Kousky, BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEORLOGICAL SOCIETY, December 2004)

Reducing the Vulnerability of Smallholder Farmers to Climate Change Through Rural Credit Programs

Reducing the Vulnerability of Smallholder Farmers to Climate Change Through Rural Credit Programs
Author: Gustavo Abath
Publisher:
Total Pages: 82
Release: 2017
Genre: Climatic changes
ISBN: 9780355045444

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The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) confidently predicted rural areas will experience major impacts from diminished water availability, food security, infrastructure and agricultural incomes, causing shifts in crop production worldwide (2014). Latin America will be significantly affected, since more than 90 percent of the regions is vulnerable to projected changes in droughts and floods (World Bank, 2014). Extreme weather events due to climate change entail risk for large- and small-scale farmers alike, but smallholders will always be more vulnerable. This paper considers how smallholder farmers in Brazil---focusing on those in the poor Northeast region---are affected by, and respond to, climate change. Brazilian smallholder farmers represent the overwhelming majority of agricultural establishments in Brazil and, in aggregate, their production exceeds the output of large-scale farmers. They average larger yields per hectare because they make more intensive use of inputs and physical capital (World Bank, 2013). The majority of family farmers, especially in the North and Northeast, are below the poverty line, and their household income is derived mainly from agriculture. Improving resilience and raising agriculture yields is important and the efficient use of land is critical for achieving Brazil's economic and environmental goals; however, it is not sufficient. There is a need to combine social policies (safety nets) with agriculture technology adoption, improved market access, tailored technical assistance and off-farm income generating opportunities supported by education/vocational training. The Brazilian Government has committed itself to lifting 16 million people out of poverty. Programs such as the National Program for Strengthening Family Farming (PRONAF) represent key elements to the strategy. 2 billion Brazilian Reais (approx. 650 million US dollars), were assigned to fund the program in 2002, reaching over R $ 8 billion (approx. 3 billion US dollars) by 2007 (Dieese, 2008). If well applied, credit lines available through federal programs like PRONAF are powerful tools to allow farmers to adapt to climate change. However, distribution and application of funds to the poorest remains problematic. Risks of the strategy include debt or inadequate allocation of resources, which may increase socioeconomic vulnerability rather than reducing it. PRONAF is an emblematic case of the challenges and potential benefits of microcredit programs. It provides funding for smallholder farmers or associations of smallholder farmers. Investment in their access to basic goods and services allows local adaptation to climate change. However, the program has benefited well-organized individual farmers and associations in the south of Brazil out of proportion to their northeastern neighbors. Moreover, to qualify for the program, farmers must hold formal title to their land, a requirement that renders the poorest among them ineligible. Fund distribution has also failed to include the training and educational components needed to ensure that farmers make the most productive use of resources. Spending on these programs has reduced poverty in the short-term but it is not clear that the effect will be sustained. In 2009, the National Institute of Applied Economics Research (IPEA) launched an assessment about the Socioeconomic Vulnerability of Brazilian smallholder family farmers due to Climate Change. This assessment analyzed the vulnerability of smallholder farmers within all five macro regions of Brazil. Additionally, the study emphasized the importance of having climate change adaptation tools embedded in public policies to be able to avoid the impact of extreme weather events on the poor. IPEA analyzed PRONAF performance in each region. Surprisingly, even though the majority of smallholder farmers are in Northeast, only 25% in the region were able to become beneficiaries of the PRONAF resources owing to the tight eligibility requirements. On the other hand, in the South region, which has a lower concentration of smallholder farmers, 38% of this group received funding from PRONAF. According to the report, three factors contributed extensively to such results: legal rights to the land; education; and effective rural associations. This paper demonstrates that smallholder farmers from different regions of the world also struggles with such issues. Such similarity is shown through the examples of Mexico, Sri Lanka and Kenya. Throughout this study PRONAF impacts are assessed through a literature review of several impact evaluation analyses done over the first 15 years of implementation of the project. After presenting the main challenges posed by climate change extreme weather events in the agriculture sector, specifically targeting smallholder farmers, this paper focus on understanding the PRONAF program logic and its background. Once the background and logic is set it, this paper evaluates the impact of PRONAF in several areas such as sustainability, improvement to access to markets, and diversification. This paper concludes by pointing out that PRONAF still has a lot of improvements ahead in order to deliver the proper type of support to smallholder farmers. This study provides recommendations so the program can best impact the livelihoods of the poorest farmers who are concentrated mostly in the Northeast region of the country.