Asymmetric Networks of Global Volatility Spillovers

Asymmetric Networks of Global Volatility Spillovers
Author: Zihui Yang
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Asymmetric Networks of Global Volatility Spillovers Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

We document asymmetric networks of implied volatility spillovers across global stock and commodity markets as well as the US Treasury market. There are significant asymmetries in the roles of US stock and bond markets as volatility suppliers to other countries and markets. Shocks from the US generate intensifying volatility spillovers across countries and asset classes. Our findings offer new evidence for the recent theory that shocks from an individual market or sector can lead to sizable aggregate fluctuations if network linkages are sufficiently asymmetric. We also provide a new tool for event studies in a network setting.

Asymmetric Volatility Spillover Effects Between Crude Oil and Other Financial Markets

Asymmetric Volatility Spillover Effects Between Crude Oil and Other Financial Markets
Author: Bo Guan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Asymmetric Volatility Spillover Effects Between Crude Oil and Other Financial Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper uses a Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) framework to investigate the asymmetric volatility spillovers among four major global asset markets: stock, bond, gold, and crude oil. It provides evidence that those spillovers are influenced by different events and economic conditions that vary across time. It identifies markets that are net providers and net takers of spillovers in each market. Specifically, we find that the stock market is the net provider, while the bond and gold markets play a mixed role. We also show that the spillover effects are mostly negative for the stock and crude oil markets and mostly positive for the bond market. We further shed light on the role of safe-haven assets at times of market turmoil by showing that these assets can play a significant role in mitigating spillover effects and providing investors with hedging opportunities. These findings have important implications for investors, who are seeking to manage risks, and policymakers, who are interested in stabilizing the markets. Keywords: asymmetric volatility spillovers, global asset markets, Multiplicative Error Model (MEM), spillover balance index.

Investment-Led Growth in China

Investment-Led Growth in China
Author: Mr.Ashvin Ahuja
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2012-11-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475515057

Download Investment-Led Growth in China Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers from an investment slowdown in China. It finds that a one percentage point slowdown in investment in China is associated with a reduction of global growth of just under one-tenth of a percentage point. The impact is about five times larger than in 2002. Regional supply chain economies and commodity exporters with relatively less diversified economies are most vulnerable to an investment slowdown in China. The spillover effects also register strongly across a range of macroeconomic, trade, and financial variables among G20 trading partners.

Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness

Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness
Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 285
Release: 2015-02-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199338329

Download Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics
Author: Mark Watson
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 432
Release: 2010-02-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199549494

Download Volatility and Time Series Econometrics Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics

Green Finance and Investment Mobilising Bond Markets for a Low-Carbon Transition

Green Finance and Investment Mobilising Bond Markets for a Low-Carbon Transition
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Total Pages: 136
Release: 2017-04-19
Genre:
ISBN: 9264272321

Download Green Finance and Investment Mobilising Bond Markets for a Low-Carbon Transition Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This report describes the development of the green bond market as an innovative instrument for green finance, and provides a review of policy actions and options to promote further market development and growth. Since 2007-08, so-called “green bonds” have emerged and the market has risen from ...

Handbook of Exchange Rates

Handbook of Exchange Rates
Author: Jessica James
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 674
Release: 2012-05-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118445775

Download Handbook of Exchange Rates Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers

Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers
Author: Sabri Boubaker
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 828
Release: 2019-06-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9813236663

Download Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.

International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis

International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis
Author: Laurent Ferrara
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 300
Release: 2018-06-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319790757

Download International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.

Global Waves of Debt

Global Waves of Debt
Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 403
Release: 2021-03-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1464815453

Download Global Waves of Debt Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.