Asymmetric Cross-Market Volatility Spillovers

Asymmetric Cross-Market Volatility Spillovers
Author: Nicholas Apergis
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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We investigate cross-market volatility spillover effects across New York and London foreign exchange and equity markets. By using several daily data-sets, each relating to a different time of the day, and the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity approach, the empirical analysis found volatility spillover effects (meteor shower effects) from the foreign exchange market in London and New York to the equity market in New York and London, respectively. By contrast, the results did not show volatility spillover effects from the equity markets to the foreign exchange markets across New York and London. Copyright 2001 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester.

Asymmetric Volatility Spillover Effects Between Crude Oil and Other Financial Markets

Asymmetric Volatility Spillover Effects Between Crude Oil and Other Financial Markets
Author: Bo Guan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper uses a Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) framework to investigate the asymmetric volatility spillovers among four major global asset markets: stock, bond, gold, and crude oil. It provides evidence that those spillovers are influenced by different events and economic conditions that vary across time. It identifies markets that are net providers and net takers of spillovers in each market. Specifically, we find that the stock market is the net provider, while the bond and gold markets play a mixed role. We also show that the spillover effects are mostly negative for the stock and crude oil markets and mostly positive for the bond market. We further shed light on the role of safe-haven assets at times of market turmoil by showing that these assets can play a significant role in mitigating spillover effects and providing investors with hedging opportunities. These findings have important implications for investors, who are seeking to manage risks, and policymakers, who are interested in stabilizing the markets. Keywords: asymmetric volatility spillovers, global asset markets, Multiplicative Error Model (MEM), spillover balance index.

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics
Author: Mark Watson
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 432
Release: 2010-02-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199549494

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A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics

Asymmetric Networks of Global Volatility Spillovers

Asymmetric Networks of Global Volatility Spillovers
Author: Zihui Yang
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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We document asymmetric networks of implied volatility spillovers across global stock and commodity markets as well as the US Treasury market. There are significant asymmetries in the roles of US stock and bond markets as volatility suppliers to other countries and markets. Shocks from the US generate intensifying volatility spillovers across countries and asset classes. Our findings offer new evidence for the recent theory that shocks from an individual market or sector can lead to sizable aggregate fluctuations if network linkages are sufficiently asymmetric. We also provide a new tool for event studies in a network setting.

Return and Volatility Spillovers Among Asian Stock Markets

Return and Volatility Spillovers Among Asian Stock Markets
Author: Prashant Mahesh Joshi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 8
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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The study examines the return and volatility spillover among Asian stock markets in India, Hong Kong, Japan, China, Jakarta, and Korea using a six-variable asymmetric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity-Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner (GARCH-BEKK) model during February 2, 2007, to February 29, 2010. The author finds evidence of bidirectional return, shock, and volatility spillover among most of the stock markets. The magnitude of volatility linkages is low indicating weak integration of Asian stock markets. The study finds that own volatility spillover is higher than cross-market spillover. The overall persistence of stock market volatility is highest for Japan (0.931) and lowest for China (0.824). The implication of weak integration is that investors will benefit from reduction of diversifiable risk.

Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness

Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness
Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 285
Release: 2015-02-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199338329

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Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.

Trading with Asymmetric Volatility Spillovers

Trading with Asymmetric Volatility Spillovers
Author: Ángel Pardo Tornero
Publisher:
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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We study the profitability of trading strategies based on volatility spillovers between large and small firms. By using the Volatility Impulse-Response Function of Lin (1997) and its extensions, we detect that any volatility shock coming from small companies is important to large companies, but the reverse is only true for negative shocks coming from large firms. To exploit these asymmetric patterns in volatility, different trading rules have been designed based on the inverse relationship existing between expected return and volatility. We find that most strategies generate excess after-transaction profits, especially after very bad news and very good news coming from large or small firm markets. These results are of special interest because of implications for risk and portfolio management.

Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets

Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets
Author: Pardeep Singh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 13
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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Volatility spillover among major equity markets has long fascinated academicians and researchers alike. This paper presents an elaborate survey and analysis of the literature on the subject. Review of extant studies on various basis such as markets studied, methodology employed, among others has important implications for various stakeholders. We report that there has been wide variation in results because different studies have examined different markets using wide range of financial econometric methodologies. Some have considered only volatility or both volatility and spillover. Still others have incorporated the impact of global financial crisis on volatility spillover. Future researchers should examine if there is any volatility spillovers between various sectors of an economy, between different financial markets of the same economy, amongst same sectors of different markets, probe whether size effect is relevant, identify the transmission channels of volatility spillover, enumerate reasons behind volatility spillover, examine asymmetric volatility responses among stock markets and can use more advanced econometric techniques.

Cross-Market Spillovers with 'Volatility Surprise'

Cross-Market Spillovers with 'Volatility Surprise'
Author: Sofiane Aboura
Publisher:
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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This article adopts the asymmetric DCC with one exogenous variable (ADCCX) model developed by Vargas (2008), by updating the concept of 'volatility surprise' to capture cross-market relationships. Current methods for measuring spillovers do not focus on volatility interactions, and neglect cross-effects between the conditional variances. This paper aims to fill this gap. The dataset includes four aggregate indices representing equities, bonds, foreign exchange rates and commodities from 1983 to 2013. The results provide strong evidence of spillover effects coming from the 'volatility surprise' component across markets. Against the background of the recent financial crisis, the aim is to contribute to the literature on the interdependencies of financial markets, both in conditional means and (co)variances. In addition, asset management implications are derived.

Handbook of Exchange Rates

Handbook of Exchange Rates
Author: Jessica James
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 674
Release: 2012-05-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118445775

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Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.