Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems

Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems
Author: Graeme L. Hammer
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 492
Release: 2013-03-09
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9401593515

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Climate variability has major impacts in many parts of the world, including Australia. Developments in understanding of the El Niño - Southern Oscillation Phenomenon have introduced some skill in seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasting. Can this skill be harnessed to advantage? Or do we just continue to observe these impacts? How does a decision-maker managing an agricultural or natural ecosystem modify decisions in response to a skillful, but imprecise, seasonal climate forecast? Using Australian experience as a basis, this book focuses on these questions in pursuing means to better manage climate risks. The state of the science in climate forecasting is reviewed before considering detailed examples of applications to: farm scale agricultural decisions (such as management of cropping and grazing systems); regional and national scale agricultural decisions (such as commodity trading and government policy); and natural systems (such as water resources, pests and diseases, and natural fauna). Many of the examples highlight the participatory and inter-disciplinary approach required among decision-makers, resource systems scientists/analysts, and climate scientists to bring about the effective applications. The experiences discussed provide valuable insights beyond the geographical and disciplinary focus of this book. The book is ideally suited to professionals and postgraduate students in ecology, agricultural climatology, environmental planning, and climate science.

Increasing Climate Variability and Change

Increasing Climate Variability and Change
Author: James Salinger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 359
Release: 2005-12-06
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1402041667

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This book reviews the latest assessments of climate variability and climate change, and their impacts on agriculture and forestry, and recommends appropriate adaptation strategies for reducing the vulnerability of agriculture and forestry to climate variability and climate change. Among other solutions, the text offers management strategies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions from different agroecosystems, and proposes the use of seasonal climate forecasts to reduce climate risk.

Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk

Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk
Author: Alberto Troccoli
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 462
Release: 2008-01-29
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1402069928

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Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard "collection of proceedings". This therefore is the first unified reference ‘textbook’ in seasonal to interannual climate predictions and their practical uses. Written by some of the world’s leading experts, the book covers a rapidly-developing science of prime social concern.

Making Climate Forecasts Matter

Making Climate Forecasts Matter
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 189
Release: 1999-05-27
Genre: Science
ISBN: 030917340X

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El Nino has been with us for centuries, but now we can forcast it, and thus can prepare far in advance for the extreme climatic events it brings. The emerging ability to forecast climate may be of tremendous value to humanity if we learn how to use the information well. How does society cope with seasonal-to-interannual climatic variations? How have climate forecasts been usedâ€"and how useful have they been? What kinds of forecast information are needed? Who is likely to benefit from forecasting skill? What are the benefits of better forecasting? This book reviews what we know about these and other questions and identifies research directions toward more useful seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts. In approaching their recommendations, the panel explores: Vulnerability of human activities to climate. State of the science of climate forecasting. How societies coevolved with their climates and cope with variations in climate. How climate information should be disseminated to achieve the best response. How we can use forecasting to better manage the human consequences of climate change.

Climate Prediction and Agriculture

Climate Prediction and Agriculture
Author: Mannava VK Sivakumar
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 319
Release: 2007-05-26
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3540446508

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Based on an International Workshop held in Geneva in 2005, this book reviews the advances made so far in seasonal climate predictions and their applications for management and decision-making in agriculture. It also identifies the challenges to be addressed in the next 5 to 10 years to further enhance operational applications of climate predictions in agriculture, especially in developing countries.

Using Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agriculture

Using Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agriculture
Author: A. K. S. Huda
Publisher:
Total Pages: 60
Release: 2004
Genre: Agriculture
ISBN:

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The challenge in using seasonal forecasting in agriculture is to assess and capture the potential benefits so that the well-being of people is improved in terms of increased food security, protection of the resource base, lower costs or better economic outcomes within the community. This report arises from an ACIAR project involving researchers in Indonesia, Zimbabwe, India and Australia.

Knowledge-Action Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting

Knowledge-Action Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2005-01-21
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309165342

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The National Academies' Roundtable on Science and Technology for Sustainability hosted a workshop "Knowledge-Action Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting" in 2004 to discover and distill general lessons about the design of effective systems for linking knowledge with action from the last decade's experience with the production and application of seasonal to interannual climate forecasts. Workshop participants described lessons they had learned based on their experiences developing, applying, and using decision support systems in the United States, Columbia, Brazil, and Australia. Some of the key lessons discussed, as characterized by David Cash and James Buizer, were that effective knowledge-action systems: define and frame the problem to be addressed via collaboration between knowledge users and knowledge producers; tend to be end-to-end systems that link user needs to basic scientific findings and observations; are often anchored in "boundary organizations" that act as intermediaries between nodes in the system - most notably between scientists and decision makers; feature flexible processes and institutions to be responsive to what is learned; use funding strategies tailored to the dual public/private character of such systems; and require people who can work across disciplines, issue areas, and the knowledgeâ€"action interface.

Thriving on Our Changing Planet: A Decadal Strategy for Earth Observation from Space

Thriving on Our Changing Planet: A Decadal Strategy for Earth Observation from Space
Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2019-06-18
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309492432

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We live on a dynamic Earth shaped by both natural processes and the impacts of humans on their environment. It is in our collective interest to observe and understand our planet, and to predict future behavior to the extent possible, in order to effectively manage resources, successfully respond to threats from natural and human-induced environmental change, and capitalize on the opportunities â€" social, economic, security, and more â€" that such knowledge can bring. By continuously monitoring and exploring Earth, developing a deep understanding of its evolving behavior, and characterizing the processes that shape and reshape the environment in which we live, we not only advance knowledge and basic discovery about our planet, but we further develop the foundation upon which benefits to society are built. Thriving on Our Changing Planet: A Decadal Strategy for Earth Observation from Space (National Academies Press, 2018) provides detailed guidance on how relevant federal agencies can ensure that the United States receives the maximum benefit from its investments in Earth observations from space, while operating within realistic cost constraints. This short booklet, designed to be accessible to the general public, provides a summary of the key ideas and recommendations from the full decadal survey report.