Analysis Of Public Debt And Fiscal Sustainability At Sub National Level
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| Author | : Laxmi Narayan |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 26 |
| Release | : 2016 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
Download Analysis of Public Debt and Fiscal Sustainability at Sub National Level Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Sound Management of Public Finance at sub-national level is important for efficiency and effectiveness of government intervention programs. The state government presented 'White Paper on Haryana State Finances' in an attempt to capture the trends of financial instabilities and weakness in State Finances. In this backdrop, the paper analysed state finances to understand debt sustainability of the state for the period 1980-81 to 2014-15 using debt sustainability i.e. domar-debt sustainability approach, indicator analysis and budget constrain approach. Paper found that though the state finances of Haryana are well managed as broad trends do not indicate major problem of sustainability but constraints started to be visible as debt accumulation is rising alongwith pressure of debt burden. Interest payments as percentage of GSDP and as percentage of revenue expenditure have declined with time but maturity profile of outstanding state government securities indicates that from year 2018-19, interest repayment burden is likely to increase as 22.9 percent of its securities will be maturing during 2018-20 period. Traditional debt sustainability indicators support the view that debt liabilities of the state are sustainable but debt sustainability position of Haryana on debt sustainability indicators vis-à-vis other NSC states for the period 2010-11 to 2014-15 has deteriorated. The state is required to increase its revenue base by following a prudent fiscal strategy by enhancing its own non-tax revenues through user charges and by recovering cost from government services.
| Author | : Cansın Kemal Can |
| Publisher | : Cambridge Scholars Publishing |
| Total Pages | : 156 |
| Release | : 2021-06-09 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1527570789 |
Download Quantifying the Sustainability of Public Debt Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Despite its beneficial aspects, public debt can be hazardous for macroeconomic performance should it reach unrepayable levels as a consequence of snowballing explosive trends. Failure to monitor the existing trend in public debt in order to detect such divergences from the stable path, and the lack of an adaptive public financial management can potentially culminate in a public debt crisis whose disruptive economic impacts can permeate all sectors of the economy very swiftly. However, public debt sustainability is a vague concept with no straightforward operational definitions. In addition, its multi-faceted nature is an impediment for the implementation of real-world appraisal of the fiscal posture from a stability viewpoint. As such, quantifying the public debt sustainability is essential for overhauling the fiscal policies so as to avoid a potential debt crisis stemming from malfunctioning fiscal policies. This book provides the reader with a practical and straightforward framework that outlines a tool for undertaking public debt sustainability analysis. In order to guide further empirical investigations, the discussion in this book is underpinned by a real-world application of the model which highlights the practical aspects of the tool with reference to time-varying empirical evidence from a developing country.
| Author | : Elena Ianchovichina |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 34 |
| Release | : 2006 |
| Genre | : Fiscal policy |
| ISBN | : |
Download Subnational Fiscal Sustainability Analysis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
"In the late 1990s the Indian state of Tamil Nadu experienced an unprecedented fiscal deterioration, which was part of the widespread fiscal deterioration in Indian states. This deterioration was troubling because current expenditure outgrew total revenue, leaving little fiscal space for infrastructure spending. The paper presents a framework for subnational fiscal sustainability analysis and applies it to Tamil Nadu where subsequent fiscal adjustment has been ambitious and politically challenging, but has promised to put state finance on a sustainable path and create fiscal space for infrastructure investment. The paper emphasizes the differences between fiscal sustainability analysis at the national and subnational levels, attempts to take into account uncertainty, and discusses the key components of the state's fiscal accounts and how they respond to reforms and shocks. Risks to Tamil Nadu's fiscal outlook include interest rate shocks, pressures on the primary balance, and contingent liabilities. Though the state's efforts to remove constraints to economic growth, minimize recurrent expenditures and maximize its revenue potential will be critical for fiscal sustainability, national policies feature prominently in subnational fiscal adjustment. Tamil Nadu's quest for fiscal sustainability is relevant for other countries. Decentralization has given subnational governments in developing countries significant spending and taxation responsibilities, and the capacity to incur debt. The fiscal stress of the Indian states echoed the fiscal crises of subnational governments in several other major emerging economies. "--World Bank web site.
| Author | : Benno Ferrarini |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Total Pages | : 227 |
| Release | : 2012-11-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1136199896 |
Download Public Debt Sustainability in Developing Asia Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Addressing the Global Financial Crisis required fiscal intervention on a substantial scale by governments around the world. The consequent build up of public debt, in particular its sustainability, have moved centre stage in the policy debate. If the Asia Pacific region is to continue to serve as an engine for global growth its public debt must be sustainable. The book addresses this issue for Asia Pacific as a whole as well as for three of the most dynamic economies in the region: China, India and Vietnam. The book begins with a discussion of the reasons why there is increased attention on debt related issues and outline the contents of the volume. The book also includes fiscal indicators for Developing Member Countries (DMCs) as categorized by the Asian Development Bank (ADB). Debt sustainability for these countries is assessed through extant approaches and with the most updated data sources. It also surveys the extant literature on debt sustainability, outlining the main issues related to debt sustainability and discusses the key implications for the application of debt sustainability analysis in developing Asia. The book highlights the importance of doing individual country studies in view of wide variations in definitions of public expenditure, revenues, contingent liabilities, government structures (e.g. federal), and the like as well as in the impact of debt on interest rates. It provides in-depth debt sustainability analyses of China, India and Vietnam. The book is a comprehensive analytical and empirical update of the sustainability public debt in developing Asia. It breakes new ground in that various characteristics of the sustainability that have not yet been explored in the literature which, nevertheless, are crucial to understanding it. As a consequence, the policy analysis is based on firmer footings than in the extant literature and should prove useful to graduate students, researchers as well as policymakers.
| Author | : Mr.Serhan Cevik |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 19 |
| Release | : 2020-01-31 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513526367 |
Download Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Fiscal sustainability remains a paramount challenge for small economies with high debt and greater vulnerability to climate change. This paper applies the model-based sustainability test for fiscal policy in a panel of 16 Caribbean countries during the period 1980–2018. The results indicate that the coefficient on lagged government debt is positive and statistically significant, implying that fiscal policy in the Caribbean takes corrective actions to counteract an increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio. Nonlinear estimations, however, show that the quadratic debt parameter is negative, which indicates that fiscal policy response is not adequate to ensure sustainability at higher levels of debt. We also find that the fiscal stance tends to be countercyclical on average during the sample period. These empirical results confirm that maintaining prudent fiscal policies and implementing growth-enhancing structural reforms are necessary to build fiscal buffers and ensure debt sustainability with high probability even when negative shocks occur over the long term.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 59 |
| Release | : 2011-05-08 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1498338631 |
Download Modernizing the Framework for Fiscal Policy and Public Debt Sustainability Analysis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Modernizing the framework for fiscal policy and public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) has become necessary, particularly in light of the recent crisis and rising sustainability concerns in some advanced economies. While recognizing the inherently challenging nature of such analysis, this paper highlights areas where improvements are needed and makes both general and specific proposals on how this could be achieved. It also proposes to move to a risk-based approach to DSAs for all market-access countries, where the depth and extent of analysis would be commensurate with concerns regarding sustainability, while a reasonable level of standardization would be maintained.
| Author | : Craig Burnside |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 312 |
| Release | : 2005 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780821358740 |
Download Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Topics discussed in this publication include: an introduction to theoretical and practical aspects of fiscal sustainability; theoretical prerequisites for fiscal sustainability analysis; debt indicators in the measurement of vulnerability; cyclical adjustment of budget surplus; pro-cyclical fiscal policy using Mexico's fiscal accounts as a case study; fiscal rules and the experience of Chile; currency crises and models for deal with financing costs.
| Author | : Mr.Serhan Cevik |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 22 |
| Release | : 2019-11-07 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513519123 |
Download Back to the Future: Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
This paper assesses the cyclicality and sustainability of fiscal policy in Belize and applies a stochastic simulation model to determine the optimal set of fiscal rules. The empirical analysis shows that fiscal policy in Belize has been significantly procyclical and unsustainable much of the period since 1976. While the government’s recent commitment to maintain a primary surplus of at least 2 percent of GDP until 2021 is supporting debt reduction, stochastic simulations indicate that further improvement in the primary balance is necessary to reliably bring the debt-to-GDP ratio to a sustainable path. Given Belize’s history of large economic shocks, this paper proposes explicit fiscal rules designed for countercyclical policy and debt sustainability. It recommends integrating such rules into a well-designed fiscal responsibility law and establishing an independent fiscal council to improve accountability and transparency.
| Author | : Alfred Greiner |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 284 |
| Release | : 2014-10-14 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3319093487 |
Download Public Debt, Sustainability and Economic Growth Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Public debt has become a severe problem for a great many economies. While the effects of tax policies on the allocation of resources are readily derived, the mechanisms that make public deficits and debt influence the economy are not so easily understood. This book elaborates on the effects of public debt starting from the intertemporal budget constraint of the government. It is shown under which conditions a government can stick to the intertemporal budget constraint and then, demonstrated how public debt affects the growth process and welfare in market economies. The effects are derived for models with complete labor markets as well as taking into account labor market imperfections. The focus in this book is on fiscal policy issues, but it also deals with monetary policy aspects. The theoretical analysis is complemented with empirical time series analyses on debt sustainability and with panel studies dealing with the relationship between public debt and economic growth.
| Author | : Michael Carlberg |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 220 |
| Release | : 2012-12-13 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3642329675 |
Download Sustainability and Optimality of Public Debt Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
This book studies the sustainability and optimality of public debt under different scenarios: the closed economy, the small open economy, and a two-country setting. Sustainability refers to the existence and the stability of the long-run equilibrium. Optimality relates to the path of public debt that maximizes discounted utility. The analysis is conducted within the framework of the Solow model, the overlapping generations model and the infinite horizon model. The government can follow different strategies, it either fixes the deficit ratio or the tax rate. As a result, a fixed deficit ratio generally can be sustained. By contrast, a fixed tax rate generally cannot be sustained. Depending on the chosen fiscal strategy, there exists either an optimal deficit ratio or an optimal tax rate that maximizes the sum of consumption and government purchases per capita.
