An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo

An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo
Author: Nicolas Chopin
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 378
Release: 2020-10-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3030478459

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This book provides a general introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters. These methods have become a staple for the sequential analysis of data in such diverse fields as signal processing, epidemiology, machine learning, population ecology, quantitative finance, and robotics. The coverage is comprehensive, ranging from the underlying theory to computational implementation, methodology, and diverse applications in various areas of science. This is achieved by describing SMC algorithms as particular cases of a general framework, which involves concepts such as Feynman-Kac distributions, and tools such as importance sampling and resampling. This general framework is used consistently throughout the book. Extensive coverage is provided on sequential learning (filtering, smoothing) of state-space (hidden Markov) models, as this remains an important application of SMC methods. More recent applications, such as parameter estimation of these models (through e.g. particle Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques) and the simulation of challenging probability distributions (in e.g. Bayesian inference or rare-event problems), are also discussed. The book may be used either as a graduate text on Sequential Monte Carlo methods and state-space modeling, or as a general reference work on the area. Each chapter includes a set of exercises for self-study, a comprehensive bibliography, and a “Python corner,” which discusses the practical implementation of the methods covered. In addition, the book comes with an open source Python library, which implements all the algorithms described in the book, and contains all the programs that were used to perform the numerical experiments.

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice
Author: Arnaud Doucet
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 590
Release: 2013-03-09
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1475734379

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Monte Carlo methods are revolutionizing the on-line analysis of data in many fileds. They have made it possible to solve numerically many complex, non-standard problems that were previously intractable. This book presents the first comprehensive treatment of these techniques.

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Nonlinear Discrete-time Filtering

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Nonlinear Discrete-time Filtering
Author: Marcelo G. S. Bruno
Publisher: Morgan & Claypool Publishers
Total Pages: 101
Release: 2013
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1627051198

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In these notes, we introduce particle filtering as a recursive importance sampling method that approximates the minimum-mean-square-error (MMSE) estimate of a sequence of hidden state vectors in scenarios where the joint probability distribution of the states and the observations is non-Gaussian and, therefore, closed-form analytical expressions for the MMSE estimate are generally unavailable. We begin the notes with a review of Bayesian approaches to static (i.e., time-invariant) parameter estimation. In the sequel, we describe the solution to the problem of sequential state estimation in linear, Gaussian dynamic models, which corresponds to the well-known Kalman (or Kalman-Bucy) filter. Finally, we move to the general nonlinear, non-Gaussian stochastic filtering problem and present particle filtering as a sequential Monte Carlo approach to solve that problem in a statistically optimal way. We review several techniques to improve the performance of particle filters, including importance function optimization, particle resampling, Markov Chain Monte Carlo move steps, auxiliary particle filtering, and regularized particle filtering. We also discuss Rao-Blackwellized particle filtering as a technique that is particularly well-suited for many relevant applications such as fault detection and inertial navigation. Finally, we conclude the notes with a discussion on the emerging topic of distributed particle filtering using multiple processors located at remote nodes in a sensor network. Throughout the notes, we often assume a more general framework than in most introductory textbooks by allowing either the observation model or the hidden state dynamic model to include unknown parameters. In a fully Bayesian fashion, we treat those unknown parameters also as random variables. Using suitable dynamic conjugate priors, that approach can be applied then to perform joint state and parameter estimation.

Elements of Sequential Monte Carlo

Elements of Sequential Monte Carlo
Author: Christian A. Naesseth
Publisher:
Total Pages: 134
Release: 2019-11-12
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 9781680836325

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Written in a tutorial style, this monograph introduces the basics of Sequential Monte Carlo, discusses practical issues, and reviews theoretical results before guiding the reader through a series of advanced topics to give a complete overview of the topic and its application to machine learning problems.

Monte Carlo Statistical Methods

Monte Carlo Statistical Methods
Author: Christian Robert
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 670
Release: 2013-03-14
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1475741456

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We have sold 4300 copies worldwide of the first edition (1999). This new edition contains five completely new chapters covering new developments.

Monte Carlo Methods

Monte Carlo Methods
Author: Adrian Barbu
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 433
Release: 2020-02-24
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9811329710

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This book seeks to bridge the gap between statistics and computer science. It provides an overview of Monte Carlo methods, including Sequential Monte Carlo, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Metropolis-Hastings, Gibbs Sampler, Cluster Sampling, Data Driven MCMC, Stochastic Gradient descent, Langevin Monte Carlo, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, and energy landscape mapping. Due to its comprehensive nature, the book is suitable for developing and teaching graduate courses on Monte Carlo methods. To facilitate learning, each chapter includes several representative application examples from various fields. The book pursues two main goals: (1) It introduces researchers to applying Monte Carlo methods to broader problems in areas such as Computer Vision, Computer Graphics, Machine Learning, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, etc.; and (2) it makes it easier for scientists and engineers working in these areas to employ Monte Carlo methods to enhance their research.

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R
Author: Christian Robert
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 297
Release: 2010
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1441915753

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This book covers the main tools used in statistical simulation from a programmer’s point of view, explaining the R implementation of each simulation technique and providing the output for better understanding and comparison.

Monte Carlo Strategies in Scientific Computing

Monte Carlo Strategies in Scientific Computing
Author: Jun S. Liu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 350
Release: 2013-11-11
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0387763716

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This book provides a self-contained and up-to-date treatment of the Monte Carlo method and develops a common framework under which various Monte Carlo techniques can be "standardized" and compared. Given the interdisciplinary nature of the topics and a moderate prerequisite for the reader, this book should be of interest to a broad audience of quantitative researchers such as computational biologists, computer scientists, econometricians, engineers, probabilists, and statisticians. It can also be used as a textbook for a graduate-level course on Monte Carlo methods.

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Nonlinear Discrete-Time Filtering

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Nonlinear Discrete-Time Filtering
Author: Marcelo G.
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 87
Release: 2022-06-01
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3031025350

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In these notes, we introduce particle filtering as a recursive importance sampling method that approximates the minimum-mean-square-error (MMSE) estimate of a sequence of hidden state vectors in scenarios where the joint probability distribution of the states and the observations is non-Gaussian and, therefore, closed-form analytical expressions for the MMSE estimate are generally unavailable. We begin the notes with a review of Bayesian approaches to static (i.e., time-invariant) parameter estimation. In the sequel, we describe the solution to the problem of sequential state estimation in linear, Gaussian dynamic models, which corresponds to the well-known Kalman (or Kalman-Bucy) filter. Finally, we move to the general nonlinear, non-Gaussian stochastic filtering problem and present particle filtering as a sequential Monte Carlo approach to solve that problem in a statistically optimal way. We review several techniques to improve the performance of particle filters, including importance function optimization, particle resampling, Markov Chain Monte Carlo move steps, auxiliary particle filtering, and regularized particle filtering. We also discuss Rao-Blackwellized particle filtering as a technique that is particularly well-suited for many relevant applications such as fault detection and inertial navigation. Finally, we conclude the notes with a discussion on the emerging topic of distributed particle filtering using multiple processors located at remote nodes in a sensor network. Throughout the notes, we often assume a more general framework than in most introductory textbooks by allowing either the observation model or the hidden state dynamic model to include unknown parameters. In a fully Bayesian fashion, we treat those unknown parameters also as random variables. Using suitable dynamic conjugate priors, that approach can be applied then to perform joint state and parameter estimation. Table of Contents: Introduction / Bayesian Estimation of Static Vectors / The Stochastic Filtering Problem / Sequential Monte Carlo Methods / Sampling/Importance Resampling (SIR) Filter / Importance Function Selection / Markov Chain Monte Carlo Move Step / Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filters / Auxiliary Particle Filter / Regularized Particle Filters / Cooperative Filtering with Multiple Observers / Application Examples / Summary

Elements of Sequential Monte Carlo

Elements of Sequential Monte Carlo
Author: CHRISTIAN A. NAESSETH;FREDRIK LINDSTEN;THOMAS B. S.
Publisher:
Total Pages: 128
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN: 9781680836332

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Written in a tutorial style, this monograph introduces the basics of Sequential Monte Carlo, discusses practical issues, and reviews theoretical results before guiding the reader through a series of advanced topics to give a complete overview of the topic and its application to machine learning problems.