An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision

An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision
Author: Robert L. Winkler
Publisher: Probabilistic Pub
Total Pages: 452
Release: 2003-01-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780964793842

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CD-ROM contains: Beta Distribution Generator (Excel file) ; Binomial Distribution Generator (Excel file) ; book exercises (MS Word files) ; book figures (Powerpoint files) ; TreeAge Data decision trees for some of the examples in the book ; Demonstration versions of TreeAge Data and Lumina Analytica.

Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis

Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis
Author: James O. Berger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 633
Release: 2013-03-14
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 147574286X

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In this new edition the author has added substantial material on Bayesian analysis, including lengthy new sections on such important topics as empirical and hierarchical Bayes analysis, Bayesian calculation, Bayesian communication, and group decision making. With these changes, the book can be used as a self-contained introduction to Bayesian analysis. In addition, much of the decision-theoretic portion of the text was updated, including new sections covering such modern topics as minimax multivariate (Stein) estimation.

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition
Author: Andrew Gelman
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 677
Release: 2013-11-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1439840954

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Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs

Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs
Author: Thomas Dyhre Nielsen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 457
Release: 2009-03-17
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0387682821

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This is a brand new edition of an essential work on Bayesian networks and decision graphs. It is an introduction to probabilistic graphical models including Bayesian networks and influence diagrams. The reader is guided through the two types of frameworks with examples and exercises, which also give instruction on how to build these models. Structured in two parts, the first section focuses on probabilistic graphical models, while the second part deals with decision graphs, and in addition to the frameworks described in the previous edition, it also introduces Markov decision process and partially ordered decision problems.

An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis

An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis
Author: Jayanta K. Ghosh
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 356
Release: 2007-07-03
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0387354336

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This is a graduate-level textbook on Bayesian analysis blending modern Bayesian theory, methods, and applications. Starting from basic statistics, undergraduate calculus and linear algebra, ideas of both subjective and objective Bayesian analysis are developed to a level where real-life data can be analyzed using the current techniques of statistical computing. Advances in both low-dimensional and high-dimensional problems are covered, as well as important topics such as empirical Bayes and hierarchical Bayes methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Many topics are at the cutting edge of statistical research. Solutions to common inference problems appear throughout the text along with discussion of what prior to choose. There is a discussion of elicitation of a subjective prior as well as the motivation, applicability, and limitations of objective priors. By way of important applications the book presents microarrays, nonparametric regression via wavelets as well as DMA mixtures of normals, and spatial analysis with illustrations using simulated and real data. Theoretical topics at the cutting edge include high-dimensional model selection and Intrinsic Bayes Factors, which the authors have successfully applied to geological mapping. The style is informal but clear. Asymptotics is used to supplement simulation or understand some aspects of the posterior.

An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation

An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation
Author: Nick Heard
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 177
Release: 2021-10-17
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3030828085

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These lecture notes provide a rapid, accessible introduction to Bayesian statistical methods. The course covers the fundamental philosophy and principles of Bayesian inference, including the reasoning behind the prior/likelihood model construction synonymous with Bayesian methods, through to advanced topics such as nonparametrics, Gaussian processes and latent factor models. These advanced modelling techniques can easily be applied using computer code samples written in Python and Stan which are integrated into the main text. Importantly, the reader will learn methods for assessing model fit, and to choose between rival modelling approaches.

Decision Analysis

Decision Analysis
Author: J. Q. Smith
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1988
Genre: Bayesian statistical decision theory
ISBN:

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Bayesian Thinking in Biostatistics

Bayesian Thinking in Biostatistics
Author: Gary L Rosner
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 622
Release: 2021-03-15
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 1000352943

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Praise for Bayesian Thinking in Biostatistics: "This thoroughly modern Bayesian book ...is a 'must have' as a textbook or a reference volume. Rosner, Laud and Johnson make the case for Bayesian approaches by melding clear exposition on methodology with serious attention to a broad array of illuminating applications. These are activated by excellent coverage of computing methods and provision of code. Their content on model assessment, robustness, data-analytic approaches and predictive assessments...are essential to valid practice. The numerous exercises and professional advice make the book ideal as a text for an intermediate-level course..." -Thomas Louis, Johns Hopkins University "The book introduces all the important topics that one would usually cover in a beginning graduate level class on Bayesian biostatistics. The careful introduction of the Bayesian viewpoint and the mechanics of implementing Bayesian inference in the early chapters makes it a complete self- contained introduction to Bayesian inference for biomedical problems....Another great feature for using this book as a textbook is the inclusion of extensive problem sets, going well beyond construed and simple problems. Many exercises consider real data and studies, providing very useful examples in addition to serving as problems." - Peter Mueller, University of Texas With a focus on incorporating sensible prior distributions and discussions on many recent developments in Bayesian methodologies, Bayesian Thinking in Biostatistics considers statistical issues in biomedical research. The book emphasizes greater collaboration between biostatisticians and biomedical researchers. The text includes an overview of Bayesian statistics, a discussion of many of the methods biostatisticians frequently use, such as rates and proportions, regression models, clinical trial design, and methods for evaluating diagnostic tests. Key Features Applies a Bayesian perspective to applications in biomedical science Highlights advances in clinical trial design Goes beyond standard statistical models in the book by introducing Bayesian nonparametric methods and illustrating their uses in data analysis Emphasizes estimation of biomedically relevant quantities and assessment of the uncertainty in this estimation Provides programs in the BUGS language, with variants for JAGS and Stan, that one can use or adapt for one's own research The intended audience includes graduate students in biostatistics, epidemiology, and biomedical researchers, in general Authors Gary L. Rosner is the Eli Kennerly Marshall, Jr., Professor of Oncology at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Professor of Biostatistics at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. Purushottam (Prakash) W. Laud is Professor in the Division of Biostatistics, and Director of the Biostatistics Shared Resource for the Cancer Center, at the Medical College of Wisconsin. Wesley O. Johnson is professor Emeritus in the Department of Statistics as the University of California, Irvine.

Advanced Lectures on Machine Learning

Advanced Lectures on Machine Learning
Author: Olivier Bousquet
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2011-03-22
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3540286500

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Machine Learning has become a key enabling technology for many engineering applications, investigating scientific questions and theoretical problems alike. To stimulate discussions and to disseminate new results, a summer school series was started in February 2002, the documentation of which is published as LNAI 2600. This book presents revised lectures of two subsequent summer schools held in 2003 in Canberra, Australia, and in Tübingen, Germany. The tutorial lectures included are devoted to statistical learning theory, unsupervised learning, Bayesian inference, and applications in pattern recognition; they provide in-depth overviews of exciting new developments and contain a large number of references. Graduate students, lecturers, researchers and professionals alike will find this book a useful resource in learning and teaching machine learning.

Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks

Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks
Author: Norman Fenton
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 516
Release: 2012-11-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1439809119

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Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models. Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. A dedicated website, www.BayesianRisk.com, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software.