An empirical study of efficient market hypothesis and its existence in virtual markets

An empirical study of efficient market hypothesis and its existence in virtual markets
Author: Jason West
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 73
Release: 2017-05-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3668443157

Download An empirical study of efficient market hypothesis and its existence in virtual markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Bachelor Thesis from the year 2015 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 2:1 (68%), Northumbria University, course: Business with Financial Management, language: English, abstract: Virtual and computer games are rapidly increasing with the introduction of the smartphone and the app stores across multiple platforms and devices with an increase in games with virtual economies. This dissertation will analyse the efficient market hypothesis, along with commonly known anomalies and information announcements. It will find out whether there are market inefficiencies in virtual games in the form of anomalies, more specifically the intra-day effect. The intra-day effect anomaly is one of many critiques of the efficient market hypothesis and there have been many studies conducted into the intra-day effect. Most research on the intra-day effect anomaly is concerning real world markets and the results have contradicted one another. This study looks at the price change movements of 118 randomly quota sampled player cards within the market of FIFA Ultimate Team. Statistical analysis in the form of mean, standard deviation, and coefficients of variances tests were carried out to identify if there were any market anomalies and reactions to information announcements. A strong correlation between market inefficiencies, anomalies, and information announcements had been discovered within the research of the virtual market in FIFA Ultimate Team. The study actually found that because of an information announcement overreaction and an intra-day effect, at a specific time during a Wednesday, a player could sell their card for potentially 233% more than what they could have an hour earlier. This research study in turn supports that market anomalies do exist in games but it was also discovered that the market is semi-strong form efficient in its reaction post-information announcement.

Efficient Market Hypothesis

Efficient Market Hypothesis
Author: Mario Chinas
Publisher: Library of Cyprus
Total Pages: 114
Release: 2019-02-23
Genre:
ISBN: 9789925755608

Download Efficient Market Hypothesis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This is the Black & White version of the book, available at a discount, which does not include the research data and analysis tables. There is also a Full Colour version that includes all the research data and analysis tables. What is a Stock Market? How do stock markets operate? Who invests in a stock market and when is it an appropriate tool for investment? Why do we care if a stock market is efficient or not? Where can we find evidence of market efficiency? With what tools can we test market efficiency?These are some of the questions that this book approaches. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is a theory in financial economics, developed by Eugene Fama, which states that asset prices fully reflect all available information. Thus, it is implied that stocks always trade at their fair value, making it impossible for investors to "beat the market" via technical or fundamental analysis, since market prices should only react to new information.There are three variants of the EMH: "weak," "semi-strong," and "strong" form. The weak form of the EMH claims that prices already reflect all past publicly available market information. The semi-strong form claims that prices reflect all publicly available information, thus price changes occur to reflect new publicly available information. The strong form adds to this that prices instantly reflect even hidden private "insider" information.Testing the EMH is no easy task: Quantifying the availability of information and its effect on prices and market efficiency is challenging, making research on the subject difficult, time consuming and open to criticism. However, anecdotal evidence suggests that markets at best reach semi-strong form efficiency, with weak form efficiency being the norm. However, even this is challenged by the critics of EMH, via concepts such as Behavioural Finance.This book aims to familiarise the reader with the concept of EMH, covering the fundamentals and relevant literature. We then discuss market efficiency tests for Weak Form Market Efficiency, examining in more detail the day-of-the-week effect and its significance on stock market efficiency. The day-of-the-week effect is defined as a pattern where a certain day of the week has abnormal returns continuously. It is an anomaly that violates the random walk hypothesis, and thus implies that a market is not Weak Form efficient.We put theory into practice through the Empirical Research section which is divided into two parts, looking at two different approaches to researching the day-of-the-week effect, via the examination of actual research examples on a small European stock exchange. Both of these Thesis tested the hypothesis of random walk to determine the authenticity of weak form market efficiency for a small emerging stock market within the EU (the Cyprus Stock Exchange).

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its Validity in Today's Markets

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its Validity in Today's Markets
Author: Stefan Palan
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 75
Release: 2004-12-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3638333523

Download The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its Validity in Today's Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Thesis (M.A.) from the year 2004 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1 (A), University of Graz (Institute für Industrial Economics), language: English, abstract: This Master Thesis gives an overview of the research into the efficient market hypothesis from its first days in the 1950s to the present. The discussion of theoretical models and concepts is being complemented by a review of relevant empirical evidence from international capital markets. The thesis is completed by a brief outlook on newer research venues, including models employing behavioural finance approaches.

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Application to Stock Markets

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Application to Stock Markets
Author: Sebastian Harder
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 65
Release: 2010-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640743768

Download The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Application to Stock Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.7, The FOM University of Applied Sciences, Hamburg, language: English, abstract: Especially after the 90ies, where the stock markets raised enormously, many private investors joined the stock market and were blended by abnormal profits and neglected possible losses. The same behavior could be observed before the Financial Crisis became reality. But each endless raising stock market would finally collapse, because stock prices are randomly and only driven by relevant news. The adjustment to the news is quickly. This is the theoretical argumentation of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), which will be evaluated in this paper. The author gives an overview about the EMH by explaining the basic principles and its mathematical formulation. The practical part evaluated the EMH on selected examples, where the theory could only be partly approved.

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets
Author: Wing-Keung Wong
Publisher: Mdpi AG
Total Pages: 232
Release: 2022-02-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9783036530802

Download Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.

“Investing in a market where people believe in efficiency is like playing bridge with someone who has been told it doesn’t do any good to look at the cards.”

“Investing in a market where people believe in efficiency is like playing bridge with someone who has been told it doesn’t do any good to look at the cards.”
Author: Charles Ekweruo
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2011-12-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656079919

Download “Investing in a market where people believe in efficiency is like playing bridge with someone who has been told it doesn’t do any good to look at the cards.” Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Essay from the year 2011 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1, University of Bradford (School of Management-Business School), course: Capital Market Investment And Finance, language: English, abstract: “In an efficient market, security (example shares) prices rationally reflect available information” (Arnold 2005, p.684). The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) refers to share price movement with respect to available information and thus no trader will be presented with an opportunity of making supernormal profits (except by chance), therefore their profits on a share will reflect the riskiness associated with that shares (Pike and Neal 2009). However, “detailed investigations using advanced econometric techniques, larger data sets, increasingly powerful computing ability, and alternative theoretical models have in the last few years revealed a range of anomalies when the unpredictability-of -returns hypothesis is tested. Financial markets are often predictable to some extent, but the crucial question is whether this predictability can be exploited to make excess profits from trading in the markets‖ (Mills 1992, as cited by Coutts, 2000, p.579). Warren Buffet, known as one of the most successful investors in history, is convinced that stock markets are inefficient. ''I think it's fascinating how the ruling orthodoxy can cause a lot of people to think the earth is flat. Investing in a market where people believe in efficiency is like playing bridge with someone who has been told it doesn't do any good to look at the cards'' (Buffet, 1984, as cited by Davis, 1990, p.4). Buffet is referring to the fact that market price movements are often caused by emotional purchases and sales of stocks, resulting to an inefficient market, in other words, irrational market prices (Buffet, 1984). However, there are financial economists who see it the other way round. They agree with the “Efficient Market Hypothesis” which states that security prices rationally reflect only available information (Arnold, 2005, p. 684) (see fig 1) therefore inhibiting the possibility of beating the market. According to this theory, there does not exist under- or overvalued shares, only true and fair values. It is difficult to say which side is right and which side is wrong, as both are based on logical reasoning and transparent facts. This paper will therefore, evaluate both concepts using different theories and ideas from those for and those against the EMH in order to find a conclusion which is reasonable and flexible enough to support a constructive point of view (based on pragmatism) and to better understand if Buffet‟s statement is true or false or maybe both.

Testing Market Efficiency

Testing Market Efficiency
Author: Saqib Nisar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Testing Market Efficiency Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

As per definition of efficient market hypothesis (EMH), there is a need that stock prices should reflect all available information in the market and no investor is able to earn excess return on the basis of some secretly held private, public or historical information. Efficient market hypothesis (EMH) can be further divided into three sub hypotheses depending upon the information set involved and these are weak form efficient market hypothesis, semi strong form efficient market hypothesis and strong form efficient market hypothesis. This study has examined the weak form of efficiency on the six major stock exchanges that are present in North-America and Europe including NYSE Composite (USA), S&P TSX Composite (Canada), FTSE 100 Index (UK), CAC 40 (France), DAX 30 (Germany) and IBEX 35 (Spain). Historical index values are gathered on a monthly, weekly and daily basis for a period of 14 Years (July 1997 to June 2011). Two statistical tests including runs test, and variance ratio test were applied for analysis and results. It is found in the process that two out of six developed stock markets of North-America and Europe doesn't follow Random-walk and hence NYSE Composite, S&P TSX Composite, DAX 30 (Germany) and IBEX 35 (Spain) are the weak form of efficient markets.