Agricultural productivity, inter-sectoral labor shift, and economic growth in India

Agricultural productivity, inter-sectoral labor shift, and economic growth in India
Author: Balaji, S. J.
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2020-06-29
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:

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In this paper, we study the transformation process Indian agriculture exhibited in the recent past, studying its policy implications. Between the years 2005-06 and 2015-16, more than 52 million workers left agriculture, which did not have any effect on agricultural output due to productivity improvements. We estimate the contribution of productivity growth and structural change in agriculture to national productivity growth during 1981-2016. We estimate differentials in agricultural productivity and in their ability to contribute to the structural change process for 21 major states of India. Using revised employment estimates, we trace major changes during the pre-reforms (before 1991) and post-reforms periods. Results show that in the pre-reforms period, the impact of productivity improvements in agriculture on agricultural output was equated by the new workforce entering into this sector, leading to a stagnant labor productivity trend. The labor-shift from agriculture during the early years of the post-reforms period, which increased further in the next decade, has led to a consistent rise in agricultural productivity. In the absence of reforms and the associated labor shift, the productivity growth in Indian agriculture would have been much lower. A similar labor shift during the last decade has not affected agricultural output, which has risen more rapidly. This result holds true for almost all states studied. There exists a positive relation between labor-shift and agricultural output in a cluster of states. Decomposition results indicate ‘within-sector’ productivity growth is the major source of overall growth, with a rising contribution of ‘structural change’. Studying the sources of growth across states offers new scope to achieve inter-sectoral productivity convergence.

Agricultural Productivity, Inter-Sectoral Labor Shift, and Economic Growth in India

Agricultural Productivity, Inter-Sectoral Labor Shift, and Economic Growth in India
Author: Balaji SJ
Publisher:
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Agricultural Productivity, Inter-Sectoral Labor Shift, and Economic Growth in India Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

In this paper, we study the transformation process Indian agriculture exhibited in the recent past, studying its policy implications. Between the years 2005-06 and 2015-16, more than 52 million workers left agriculture, which did not have any effect on agricultural output due to productivity improvements. We estimate the contribution of productivity growth and structural change in agriculture to national productivity growth during 1981-2016. We estimate differentials in agricultural productivity and in their ability to contribute to the structural change process for 21 major states of India. Using revised employment estimates, we trace major changes during the pre-reforms (before 1991) and post-reforms periods. Results show that in the pre-reforms period, the impact of productivity improvements in agriculture on agricultural output was equated by the new workforce entering into this sector, leading to a stagnant labor productivity trend. The labor-shift from agriculture during the early years of the post-reforms period, which increased further in the next decade, has led to a consistent rise in agricultural productivity. In the absence of reforms and the associated labor shift, the productivity growth in Indian agriculture would have been much lower. A similar labor shift during the last decade has not affected agricultural output, which has risen more rapidly. This result holds true for almost all states studied. There exists a positive relation between labor-shift and agricultural output in a cluster of states. Decomposition results indicate 'within-sector' productivity growth is the major source of overall growth, with a rising contribution of 'structural change'. Studying the sources of growth across states offers new scope to achieve inter-sectoral productivity convergence.

China’s Productivity Convergence and Growth Potential—A Stocktaking and Sectoral Approach

China’s Productivity Convergence and Growth Potential—A Stocktaking and Sectoral Approach
Author: Min Zhu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2019-11-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513515357

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China’s growth potential has become a hotly debated topic as the economy has reached an income level susceptible to the “middle-income trap” and financial vulnerabilities are mounting after years of rapid credit expansion. However, the existing literature has largely focused on macro level aggregates, which are ill suited to understanding China’s significant structural transformation and its impact on economic growth. To fill the gap, this paper takes a deep dive into China’s convergence progress in 38 industrial sectors and 11 services sectors, examines past sectoral transitions, and predicts future shifts. We find that China’s productivity convergence remains at an early stage, with the industrial sector more advanced than services. Large variations exist among subsectors, with high-tech industrial sectors, in particular the ICT sector, lagging low-tech sectors. Going forward, ample room remains for further convergence, but the shrinking distance to the frontier, the structural shift from industry to services, and demographic changes will put sustained downward pressure on growth, which could slow to 5 percent by 2025 and 4 percent by 2030. Digitalization, SOE reform, and services sector opening up could be three major forces boosting future growth, while the risks of a financial crisis and a reversal in global integration in trade and technology could slow the pace of convergence.

The Balance Between Industry and Agriculture in Economic Development

The Balance Between Industry and Agriculture in Economic Development
Author: Vadiraj R. Panchamukhi
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 454
Release: 1989-02-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1349197467

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This volume of papers from the Eighth World Congress deals with changes in proportions and growth rates of sectors of the economy in relation to economic development. It includes a survey of theories of sectoral balance and studies of structural transformation in the Kuznets traditon.

Issues In Indian Agricultural Development

Issues In Indian Agricultural Development
Author: M. Zarkovic
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 176
Release: 2019-04-10
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0429712960

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This work analyzes growth and structural change in Indian agriculture over the last three decades. In order to develop a global perspective, the Indian agricultural growth experience is introduced using parallels and contrasts with other parts of the Third World. The book is characterized by an empirical approach to the underlying economic data and a multi-disciplinary approach to the ramifications of agricultural growth. Considered among these are the transformation of the female labor force, population migrations and changes in human welfare. This book differs from the numerous others on Indian agriculture insofar as it takes a regional perspective, focusing on the causes and effects of inter-state variations.

The New Economics of Growth

The New Economics of Growth
Author: John Williams Mellor
Publisher: Ithaca, N.Y. : Cornell University Press
Total Pages: 360
Release: 1976
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Monograph proposing an economic development strategy for India which would emphasize agricultural development, food production, and improvement in the economic condition of low income groups - suggests measures for alleviating rural area poverty and creating employment opportunities, etc., and includes industrial growth trends and intersectoral linkages. References and statistical tables.

Growth and Structural Transformation

Growth and Structural Transformation
Author: Kwang Suk Kim
Publisher: BRILL
Total Pages: 224
Release: 2020-03-17
Genre: History
ISBN: 1684172195

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This study provides a comprehensive overview of Korea’s macroeconomic growth and structural change since World War II, and traces some of the roots of development to the colonial period. The authors explore in detail colonial development, changing national income patterns, relative price shifts, sources of aggregate growth, and sources of sectoral structural change, comparing them with other countries.

Population, Land Use, and Environment

Population, Land Use, and Environment
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 345
Release: 2005-10-15
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0309096553

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Population, Land Use, and Environment: Research Directions offers recommendations for future research to improve understanding of how changes in human populations affect the natural environment by means of changes in land use, such as deforestation, urban development, and development of coastal zones. It also features a set of state-of-the-art papers by leading researchers that analyze population-land useenvironment relationships in urban and rural settings in developed and underdeveloped countries and that show how remote sensing and other observational methods are being applied to these issues. This book will serve as a resource for researchers, research funders, and students.

The Role of Productivity, Transportation Costs, and Barriers to Intersectoral Mobility in Structural Transformation

The Role of Productivity, Transportation Costs, and Barriers to Intersectoral Mobility in Structural Transformation
Author: Cem Karayalcin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2015-04-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484350057

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The process of economic development is characterized by substantial reallocations of resources across sectors. In this paper, we construct a multi-sector model in which there are barriers to the movement of labor from low-productivity traditional agriculture to modern sectors. With the barrier in place, we show that improvements in productivity in modern sectors (including agriculture) or reductions in transportation costs may lead to a rise in agricultural employment and through terms-oftrade effects may harm subsistence farmers if the traditional subsistence sector is larger than a critical level. This suggests that policy advice based on the earlier literature needs to be revised. Reducing barriers to mobility (through reductions in the cost of skill acquisition and institutional changes) and improving the productivity of subsistence farmers needs to precede policies designed to increase the productivity of modern sectors or decrease transportation costs.