Deterministic and Stochastic Models of AIDS Epidemics and HIV Infections with Intervention

Deterministic and Stochastic Models of AIDS Epidemics and HIV Infections with Intervention
Author: W. Y. Tan
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 610
Release: 2005
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9812561390

Download Deterministic and Stochastic Models of AIDS Epidemics and HIV Infections with Intervention Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

- Only book on extensive, deterministic models, statistic models, stochastic models and state space models and statistical methods for HIV epidemic involving IV drug usage and HIV epidemic in homosexual populations. - Provides most recent biological insights into HIV pathogenesis and HIV kinetics at the cellular level, and illustrates how to build up mathematical models based on these biological insights. - Only publication that provides in-depth analysis of HAART treatment protocols and discusses possible improvements to the HAART protocol. The book also provides connection between pharmacokinetics with treatment in HIV-infected individuals.

Stochastic Modeling of AIDS Epidemiology and HIV Pathogenesis

Stochastic Modeling of AIDS Epidemiology and HIV Pathogenesis
Author: W. Y. Tan
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 458
Release: 2000
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9789810241223

Download Stochastic Modeling of AIDS Epidemiology and HIV Pathogenesis Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book discusses systematically treatment on the development of stochastic, statistical and state space models of the HIV epidemic and of HIV pathogenesis in HIV-infected individuals, and presents the applications of these models. The book is unique in several ways: (1) it uses stochastic difference and differential equations to present the stochastic models of the HIV epidemic and HIV pathogenesis; in this sense, the deterministic models are considered as special cases when the numbers of different type of people or cells are very large (2) it provides, a critical analysis of deterministic and statistical models in the literature; (3) it develops state space models by combining stochastic models and statistical models; and (4) it provides a detailed discussion on the pros and cons of the different modeling approaches. This book is the first to introduce state space models for the HIV epidemic. It is also the first to develop stochastic models and state space models for the HIV pathogenesis in HIV-infected individuals.

Stochastic Processes in Epidemiology

Stochastic Processes in Epidemiology
Author: Charles J. Mode
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 765
Release: 2000
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9812779256

Download Stochastic Processes in Epidemiology Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This text deals with the mathematical and statistical techniques underlying the models used to understand the population dynamics of not only HIV/AIDS, but also of other infectious diseases. Attention is given to the development of strategies for the prevention and control of the international epidemic within the frameworks of the models. The text incorporates stochastic and deterministic formulations within a unifying conceptual framework.

Stochastic Analysis of AIDS Epidemiology

Stochastic Analysis of AIDS Epidemiology
Author: Moremi Morire OreOluwapo Labeodan
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

Download Stochastic Analysis of AIDS Epidemiology Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

In this thesis, some issues about the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) have been addressed by concentrating on the stochastic modelling of the dynamics of the viruses. The aim of this thesis is to determine parameters such as the mean number of free HIV, infectious free HIV and non-infectious free HIV which are essential in determining incubation period of the virus, the disease progression of an infected individual and the efficacy of the treatment used. This thesis comprises of six chapters. The first two chapters are introductory to the viruses and reasons why HIV-1 is given priority over HIV-2 are given. The pathogenesis of the virus is addressed. This is because knowledge of the pathogenesis and strains of the virus has become essential in the study of HIV in vivo dynamics which is still paving ways into extensive research of the ways to contain the disease better. In chapter three the distribution functions of the HIV incubation period and seroconversion time are determined via stochastic models by building on previous work of Lui et al. (1988) and Medley et al. (1988). Also AIDS incidence projection was done using the Backcalculation method. Chapter four deals with the formulation of stochastic model of the dynamics of HIV in an infected individual. Two stochastic models are proposed and analysed for the dynamics of the viral load in a HIV infected person and the multiplication process of the virions inside an infected T4 cell. Also a numerical illustration of the stochastic models derived is given. In chapter five, the T4 cell count which is considered one of the markers of disease progression in HIV infected individual is examined. WHO has recently advocated that countries encourage HIV infected individuals to commence antiretroviral treatments once their T4 cell count is 350 cells per ml of blood. This is because when the T4 cell count is low, the T4 cells are unable to mount an effective immune response against antigens (and any such foreign matters in the body) and consequently, the individual becomes susceptible to opportunistic infections and lymphomas. We developed a stochastic catastrophe model to obtain the mean, variance and covariance of the uninfected, infected and lysed T4 cells: also the amount of toxin produced in a HIV infected person from the time of infection to the present time is derived. A numerical illustration of the correlation structure between uninfected and infected T4 cells, and infected and lysed T4 cells is portrayed. Antiretrioviral treatments were introduced while we await a cure. Treatment with single drug failed due to the fact that HIV evolved rapidly because of its high replication rate. Thus drug resistance to single therapeutic treatment in HIV infected individuals has promoted research into combined treatments. In chapter six a stochastic model under combined therapeutic treatment is derived. Mean numbers of free HIV, infectious free HIV and non-infectious free HIV are obtained. Variance and co-variance structures of our parameters were obtained unlike in previous work of Perelson et al. (1996), Tan and Xiang (1999).

Mathematical Models for Therapeutic Approaches to Control HIV Disease Transmission

Mathematical Models for Therapeutic Approaches to Control HIV Disease Transmission
Author: Priti Kumar Roy
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 228
Release: 2015-12-08
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9812878521

Download Mathematical Models for Therapeutic Approaches to Control HIV Disease Transmission Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The book discusses different therapeutic approaches based on different mathematical models to control the HIV/AIDS disease transmission. It uses clinical data, collected from different cited sources, to formulate the deterministic as well as stochastic mathematical models of HIV/AIDS. It provides complementary approaches, from deterministic and stochastic points of view, to optimal control strategy with perfect drug adherence and also tries to seek viewpoints of the same issue from different angles with various mathematical models to computer simulations. The book presents essential methods and techniques for students who are interested in designing epidemiological models on HIV/AIDS. It also guides research scientists, working in the periphery of mathematical modeling, and helps them to explore a hypothetical method by examining its consequences in the form of a mathematical modelling and making some scientific predictions. The model equations, mathematical analysis and several numerical simulations that are presented in the book would serve to reveal the consequences of the logical structure of the disease transmission, quantitatively as well as qualitatively. One of the chapters introduces the optimal control approach towards the mathematical models, describing the optimal drug dosage process that is discussed with the basic deterministic models dealing with stability analysis. Another one chapter deals with the mathematical analysis for the perfect drug adherence for different drug dynamics during the treatment management. The last chapter of the book consists the stochastic approach to the disease dynamics on HIV/AIDS. This method helps to move the disease HIV/AIDS to extinction as the time to increase. This book will appeal to undergraduate and postgraduate students, as well as researchers, who are studying and working in the field of bio-mathematical modelling on infectious diseases, applied mathematics, health informatics, applied statistics and qualitative public health, etc. Social workers, who are working in the field of HIV, will also find the book useful for complements.

Quantitative Methods for HIV/AIDS Research

Quantitative Methods for HIV/AIDS Research
Author: Cliburn Chan
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 309
Release: 2017-08-07
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1498734251

Download Quantitative Methods for HIV/AIDS Research Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Quantitative Methods in HIV/AIDS Research provides a comprehensive discussion of modern statistical approaches for the analysis of HIV/AIDS data. The first section focuses on statistical issues in clinical trials and epidemiology that are unique to or particularly challenging in HIV/AIDS research; the second section focuses on the analysis of laboratory data used for immune monitoring, biomarker discovery and vaccine development; the final section focuses on statistical issues in the mathematical modeling of HIV/AIDS pathogenesis, treatment and epidemiology. This book brings together a broad perspective of new quantitative methods in HIV/AIDS research, contributed by statisticians and mathematicians immersed in HIV research, many of whom are current or previous leaders of CFAR quantitative cores. It is the editors’ hope that the work will inspire more statisticians, mathematicians and computer scientists to collaborate and contribute to the interdisciplinary challenges of understanding and addressing the AIDS pandemic.

Stochastic Models With Applications To Genetics, Cancers, Aids And Other Biomedical Systems

Stochastic Models With Applications To Genetics, Cancers, Aids And Other Biomedical Systems
Author: Wai-yuan Tan
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 458
Release: 2002-02-26
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 981448931X

Download Stochastic Models With Applications To Genetics, Cancers, Aids And Other Biomedical Systems Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This book presents a systematic treatment of Markov chains, diffusion processes and state space models, as well as alternative approaches to Markov chains through stochastic difference equations and stochastic differential equations. It illustrates how these processes and approaches are applied to many problems in genetics, carcinogenesis, AIDS epidemiology and other biomedical systems.One feature of the book is that it describes the basic MCMC (Markov chain and Monte Carlo) procedures and illustrates how to use the Gibbs sampling method and the multilevel Gibbs sampling method to solve many problems in genetics, carcinogenesis, AIDS and other biomedical systems.As another feature, the book develops many state space models for many genetic problems, carcinogenesis, AIDS epidemiology and HIV pathogenesis. It shows in detail how to use the multilevel Gibbs sampling method to estimate (or predict) simultaneously the state variables and the unknown parameters in cancer chemotherapy, carcinogenesis, AIDS epidemiology and HIV pathogenesis. As a matter of fact, this book is the first to develop many state space models for many genetic problems, carcinogenesis and other biomedical problems.

Deterministic and Stochastic Models for HIV

Deterministic and Stochastic Models for HIV
Author: sarkhosh seddighi chaharborj
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
Total Pages: 116
Release: 2014-01
Genre:
ISBN: 9783659513848

Download Deterministic and Stochastic Models for HIV Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Mathematical modeling is an important tools to analyze and control the spread of infection disease in a society. One of the fundamental questions of mathematical epidemiology is to find threshold conditions that determine whether an infectious disease will spread in a susceptible population when the disease is introduced into the population. The threshold conditions are characterized by the so-called reproductive number, the reproduction number, the reproductive ratio, basic reproductive value, basic reproductive rate, or contact number. This book present the deterministic and stochastic epidemic models for HIV and study of reproductive numbers. The homotopy perturbation method and homotopy analysis method which was used to solve the linear and nonlinear differential equations. Also, the generation of stochastic models in the epidemic disease has been studied.