A Pricing and Hedging Comparison of Parametric and Nonparametric Approaches for American Index Options

A Pricing and Hedging Comparison of Parametric and Nonparametric Approaches for American Index Options
Author: Toby Daglish
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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This article investigates the extent to which options on the Australian Stock Price Index can be explained by parametric and nonparametric option pricing techniques. In particular, comparisons are made of out-of-sample option pricing performance and hedging performance. The dataset differs from many of those used previously in the empirical options pricing literature in that it consists of American options. In addition, a broader spectrum of techniques are considered: a spline-based nonparametric technique is considered in addition to the standard kernel techniques, while the performance of a Heston stochastic volatility model is also considered. Although some evidence is found of superior performance by nonparametric techniques for in-sample pricing, the parametric methods exhibit a markedly better ability to explain future prices and show superior hedging performance.

Handbook of Financial Econometrics

Handbook of Financial Econometrics
Author: Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 809
Release: 2009-10-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080929842

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This collection of original articles—8 years in the making—shines a bright light on recent advances in financial econometrics. From a survey of mathematical and statistical tools for understanding nonlinear Markov processes to an exploration of the time-series evolution of the risk-return tradeoff for stock market investment, noted scholars Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Lars Peter Hansen benchmark the current state of knowledge while contributors build a framework for its growth. Whether in the presence of statistical uncertainty or the proven advantages and limitations of value at risk models, readers will discover that they can set few constraints on the value of this long-awaited volume. Presents a broad survey of current research—from local characterizations of the Markov process dynamics to financial market trading activity Contributors include Nobel Laureate Robert Engle and leading econometricians Offers a clarity of method and explanation unavailable in other financial econometrics collections

Parametric and Non-parametric Option Hedging and Estimation Based on Hedging Error Minimization

Parametric and Non-parametric Option Hedging and Estimation Based on Hedging Error Minimization
Author: Xiaoyi Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 108
Release: 2020
Genre: Hedging (Finance)
ISBN:

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Over the past few decades, option pricing accuracy has always been a standard criterion in gauging the performance of model parameter estimates. However, as a primary concern for option market makers, option hedging activity receives much less attention than pricing. Since option hedging strives to eliminate risks of market makers' portfolio positions in practice, it might be a more sensible measure in evaluating model estimates. In the first part of this thesis, a parameter estimation procedure based on minimizing the risks accumulated over the lifetime of an option is proposed. More specifically, a loss function which involves option pricing and hedging strategies is first defined to evaluate the cumulative hedging error(CHE). Then, after a simulation study assuming the Black-Scholes(BS) model for stock dynamics and option prices, an estimation method based on minimizing CHE is compared with maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) and implied estimation under three different model settings: the Black-Scholes model, the Merton jump diffusion, and the Heston stochastic volatility model. This comparison is conducted using an empirical study consisting of multiple datasets of individual stocks and options spanning 2011-2014 with the back-testing procedure. The second part of this thesis tries to mitigate the model-dependent feature of the first part, allowing flexible smoothing spline estimates for the option pricing curves. There are shape constraints induced by the arbitrage-free conditions of pricing options. Therefore, the form of the smoothing spline is carefully chosen to satisfy the constraints. In addition, certain transformation to the inputs of the pricing curve is performed to reduce dimensions. Under such strict constraints, we propose an option pricing curve which is composed of a weighted average between the Black-Scholes pricing function and a constrained cubic spline function. The resulting pricing and hedging strategies generated by the weighted curve estimator are then used to evaluate the previously defined cumulative hedging error(CHE). The back-testing results show that in general, smaller cumulative hedging error for real equity market data is achieved by the proposed hedging error minimization method, compared with traditional estimation methods.

Recent Advances in Financial Engineering

Recent Advances in Financial Engineering
Author: Masaaki Kijima
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 258
Release: 2011
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 981436603X

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This book contains the proceedings of the KIER-TMU International Workshop on Financial Engineering 2010, which was held in Tokyo. It was for an exchange of new ideas in financial engineering among industry professionals and researchers from various countries. It has been held for two consecutive years since 2009, as a successor to the Daiwa International Workshop, which was held from 2004 to 2008, and is organized by the Institute of Economic Research of Kyoto University (KIER) and the Graduate School of Social Sciences of Tokyo Metropolitan University (TMU). The workshop serves as a bridge between academic researchers and practitioners. This book consists of eleven papers - all refereed - representing or related to the presentations at the workshop. The papers address state-of-the-art techniques in financial engineering. The Proceedings of the 2009 workshop was also published by World Scientific Publishing.

A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Via Learning Networks

A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Via Learning Networks
Author: James M. Hutchinson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 68
Release: 1994
Genre: Derivative securities
ISBN:

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We propose a nonparametric method for estimating derivative financial asset pricing formulae using learning networks. To demonstrate feasibility, we first simulate Black-Scholes option prices and show that learning networks can recover the Black-Scholes formula from a two-year training set of daily options prices, and that the resulting network formula can be used successfully to both price and delta-hedge options out-of-sample. For comparison, we estimate models using four popular methods: ordinary least squares, radial basis functions, multilayer perceptrons, and projection pursuit. To illustrate practical relevance, we also apply our approach to S & P 500 futures options data from 1987 to 1991. Option pricing, Learning, Finance, Black-Scholes, Hedging.

Non-Parametric American Option Valuation Using Cressie-Read Divergences

Non-Parametric American Option Valuation Using Cressie-Read Divergences
Author: Jamie Alcock
Publisher:
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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Haley & Walker (2010) suggest that their use of Cressie-Read family within Stutzer's (1996) non-parametric method for valuing European option might be extended to Alcock & Carmichael's (2008) non-parametric valuation of American options. We derive this suite of non-parametric methods to price and hedge American-style options. We test their efficacy using a large sample of traded American style options struck on the S&P100 index. We find that in general, the suite of non-parametric valuation schemes generate more accurate price estimates than traditional parametric schemes, especially for longer-dated options.

Option Pricing with Model-Guided Nonparametric Methods

Option Pricing with Model-Guided Nonparametric Methods
Author: Jianqing Fan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 55
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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Parametric option pricing models are largely used in Finance. These models capture several features of asset price dynamics. However, their pricing performance can be significantly enhanced when they are combined with nonparametric learning approaches that learn and correct empirically the pricing errors. In this paper, we propose a new nonparametric method for pricing derivatives assets. Our method relies on the state price distribution instead of the state price density because the former is easier to estimate nonparametrically than the latter. A parametric model is used as an initial estimate of the state price distribution. Then the pricing errors induced by the parametric model are fitted nonparametrically. This model-guided method estimates the state price distribution nonparametrically and is called Automatic Correction of Errors (ACE). The method is easy to implement and can be combined with any model-based pricing formula to correct the systematic biases of pricing errors. We also develop a nonparametric test based on the generalized likelihood ratio to document the efficacy of the ACE method. Empirical studies based on Samp;P 500 index options show that our method outperforms several competing pricing models in terms of predictive and hedging abilities.

Pricing and Hedging Index Options with a Dominant Constituent Stock

Pricing and Hedging Index Options with a Dominant Constituent Stock
Author: Helen Cheyne
Publisher:
Total Pages: 306
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this paper, we examine the pricing and hedging of an index option where one constituents stock plays an overly dominant role in the index. Under a Geometric Brownian Motion assumption we compare the distribution of the relative value of the index if the dominant stock is modeled separately from the rest of the index, or not. The former is equivalent to the relative index value being distributed as the sum of two lognormal random variables and the latter is distributed as a single lognormal random variable. Since these are not equal in distribution, we compare the two models. The validity of this theoretical result is verified against empirical stock market data. We look at two main models representing these cases: first, we use numerical methods to solve the two-dimensional problem directly; second, we make simplifying assumptions to reduce the two-dimensional Black-Scholes problem to a one-dimensional Black-Scholes problem that can be solved analytically. Since the terminal conditions of an option are usually non-smooth the numerical methods are verified by comparison to a Monte Carlo simulated solution. Attributes of the models that we compare are the relative option price differences and expected hedging profits. We compare the models for various volatilities, dominance levels, correlations and risk free rates. This work is significant in options trading because when a stock becomes dominant in its index the distribution of the returns changes. Even if the effect is small, given the millions of dollars exposed to index option trades, it has a material impact.

Option Pricing and Hedging with Transaction Costs

Option Pricing and Hedging with Transaction Costs
Author: Ling Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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The traditional Black-Scholes theory on pricing and hedging of European call options has long been criticized for its oversimplified and unrealistic model assumptions. This dissertation investigates several existing modifications and extensions of the Black-Scholes model and proposes new data-driven approaches to both option pricing and hedging for real data. The semiparametric pricing approach initially proposed by Lai and Wong (2004) provides a first attempt to bridge the gap between model and market option prices. However, its application to the S & P 500 futures options is not a success, when the original additive regression splines are used for the nonparametric part of the pricing formula. Having found a strong autocorrelation in the time-series of the Black-Scholes pricing residuals, we propose a lag-1 correction for the Black-Scholes price, which essentially is a time-series modeling of the nonparametric part in the semiparametric approach. This simple but efficient time-series approach gives an outstanding pricing performance for S & P 500 futures options, even compared with the commonly practiced and favored implied volatility approaches. A major type of approaches to option hedging with proportional transaction costs is based on singular stochastic control problems that seek an optimal balance between the cost and the risk of hedging an option. We propose a data-driven rule-based strategy to connect the theoretical approaches with real-world applications. Similar to the optimal strategies in theory, the rule-based strategy can be characterized by a pair of buy/sell boundaries and a no-transaction region in between. A two-stage iterative procedure is provided for tuning the boundaries to a long period of option data. Comparing the rule-based strategy with several other existing hedging strategies, we obtain favorable results in both the simulation studies and the empirical study using the S & P 500 futures and futures options. Making use of a reverting pattern of the S & P 500 futures price, we refine the rule-based strategy by allowing hedging suspension at large jumps in futures price.