A Model of Pacific Rim Log and Lumber Markets

A Model of Pacific Rim Log and Lumber Markets
Author: Andres Katz
Publisher:
Total Pages: 224
Release: 1988
Genre: Forest products
ISBN:

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To facilitate policy making and improve understanding of issues facing the New Zealand forest sector, a spatial equilibrium model was developed for log and lumber trade in the Pacific Rim. Regions included in the model were New Zealand, Chile, Australia, Japan, Eastern Canada, British Columbia: Coast and Interior, and the United States. Eight products were recognized in each market, characterized by their species group. Demand and supply relationships were econometrically estimated over the sample period 1966 to 1983; a reactive programming procedure was adopted to solve for annual market equilibrium prices and quantities. Inventory growth and drain models provided the necessary parameters to specify annual marginal cost functions for Radiata pine log supply from New Zealand and Chile. The validation procedure included simulating over a future period, from 1983 to 2010, under alternate economic and policy environments. Specifically, the model was used to investigate the impacts on Radiata pine markets of increased resource availability in New Zealand and Chile; the effects of a lower New Zealand exchange rate, and the indirect effects from a scenario of low growth in United States lumber consumption. Supply and demand for Radiata pine lumber in New Zealand were both inelastic, in contrast to Japan and Australia, reflecting lower substitution possibilities between timber species. Demand and supply behavior varied greatly between species. Baseline projections to 2010 indicated Radiata pine prices in New Zealand will decline by 23 percent, associated with a build up in inventory above the minimum harvest age. This was attributable to the high afforestation rates in New Zealand and Chile from the 1960's on.

Pacific Rim Log Trade

Pacific Rim Log Trade
Author: Donald F. Flora
Publisher:
Total Pages: 80
Release: 1991
Genre: Lumber trade
ISBN:

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Research Paper PNW.

Research Paper PNW.
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 418
Release: 1978
Genre: Forests and forestry
ISBN:

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Pacific Rim Log Trade

Pacific Rim Log Trade
Author: Donald F. Flora
Publisher: Forgotten Books
Total Pages: 86
Release: 2018-11-21
Genre:
ISBN: 9781397208156

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Excerpt from Pacific Rim Log Trade: Determinants and Trends Keywords: Markets (external), supply and demand (forest products), trade (pacific Rim), log exports. Timber exports have been a regular feature of trade from western North America for 150 years. By the late 19803, the Pacific Rim softwood log trade involved several hundred specialized ships, billions of dollars of annual transactions, and a distinctive and highly competitive industry structure. Demand for wood products around the Pacific Rim can be attributed to a chain of causal factors: a country's general economic health and interest rates determine homebuilding and construction activity, which draw wood products imports and manufacture. Log supplies are affected similarly by technical and economic factors. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.