A Job Ladder Model Of Firm Worker And Earnings Dynamics
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Author | : Sean McCrary |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2022 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download A Job Ladder Model of Firm, Worker, and Earnings Dynamics Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
This paper proposes a multiworker firm model with on-the-job search and decreasing returns-to-scale production. A coalition bargaining solution between a firm and its incumbent workers yields tractability, results in privately efficient recruiting decisions, and delivers an explicit expression for the wage function. The paper shows how a stylized calibrated version of the model can replicate untargeted empirical facts on the cross-sectional dispersion in firm growth and on measured elasticities of separation rates, quitting rates and vacancy duration with respect to wages. It can also replicate observed net poaching rates by firm size and firm wage, therefore rationalizing the absence of firm size ladders and the presence of wage ladders. In terms of business cycles, the model can replicate the cyclical properties of job flows and worker flows.
Author | : John C. Haltiwanger |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 59 |
Release | : 2017 |
Genre | : Big business |
ISBN | : |
Download Cyclical Job Ladders by Firm Size and Firm Wage Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
We study whether workers progress up firm wage and size job ladders, and the cyclicality of this movement. Search theory predicts that workers should flow towards larger, higher paying firms. However, we see little evidence of a firm size ladder, partly because small, young firms poach workers from all other businesses. In contrast, we find strong evidence of a firm wage ladder that is highly procyclical. During the Great Recession, this firm wage ladder collapsed, with net worker reallocation to higher wage firms falling to zero. The earnings consequences from this lack of upward progression are sizable.
Author | : Kerstin Holzheu |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 100 |
Release | : 2018 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9780438083233 |
Download Separations on the Job Ladder Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Using three European matched employer-employee data sets, I show that workers experiencing high positive or negative changes in wages subsequently have a high propensity of job separation. In all three data sets, a change in wages of 10 percentage points above or below the median coincides with roughly 30% higher odds of job separation. The pattern is more pronounced among low experience workers. Theoretically, I rationalize the empirical finding as a result of information and labor market frictions in a random search model with two-sided heterogeneity and symmetric learning about worker ability. In the framework, workers with low experience have a high initial volatility of wage changes and move between firms to enjoy productivity benefits. I allow for additional channels of wage growth through contract renegotiation and dynamic match productivity and let firms differ in the volatility of production shocks. In the model, workers can partially reduce their wage exposure to productivity shocks by accumulating wage negotiation capital such that the volatility of wage changes falls endogenously on the job ladder. An uneven distribution of volatile firms along the job ladder further increases wage stability with experience. I thereby show that the job ladder does not only determine worker's level of wages but can also account for part of its variability.
Author | : Henning Bunzel |
Publisher | : Emerald Group Publishing |
Total Pages | : 613 |
Release | : 2006-03-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0444520899 |
Download Structural Models of Wage and Employment Dynamics Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Selected papers from a conference held in honour of Professor Dale T. Mortensen upon the occasion of his 65th birthday. It includes papers on some of Professor Dale T. Mortensen's current research topics, as well as additional theoretical papers, and micro- and macro-econometric papers.
Author | : Giuseppe Moscarini |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2018 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download The Cyclical Job Ladder Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Many theories of labor market turnover generate a job ladder. Due to search frictions, workers earn rents from employment. All workers agree on which jobs are, in this sense, more desirable and slowly climb the job ladder through job-to-job quits. Occasionally, negative shocks throw them off the ladder and back into unemployment. We review a recent body of theory and empirical evidence on labor market turnover through the lens of the job ladder. We focus on the critical role that the job ladder plays in transmitting aggregate shocks, through the pace and direction of employment reallocation, to economic activity and wages and in shaping business cycles more generally. The main evidence concerns worker transitions, both through nonemployment and from job to job, between firms of different sizes, ages, productivity levels, and wage premiums, as well as the resulting earnings growth. Poaching by firms up the ladder is the main engine of reallocation, which shuts down in recessions.
Author | : Benjamin Friedrich |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 61 |
Release | : 2019 |
Genre | : Industrial productivity |
ISBN | : |
Download Earnings Dynamics and Firm-Level Shocks Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
We use matched employer-employee data from Sweden to study the role of the firm in affecting the stochastic properties of wages. Our model accounts for endogenous participation and mobility decisions. We find that firm-specific permanent productivity shocks transmit to individual wages, but the effect is mostly concentrated among the high-skilled workers; firm-specific temporary shocks mostly affect the low-skilled. The updates to worker-firm specific match effects over the life of a firm-worker relationship are small. Substantial growth in earnings variance over the life cycle for high-skilled workers is driven by firms accounting for 44% of cross-sectional variance by age 55.
Author | : Antoine Bertheau |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2023 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Job Ladders by Firm Wage and Productivity Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
We investigate whether workers reallocate up firm productivity and wage job ladders, and the cyclicality of this process. We document that productivity is a better measure of the job ladder than the average wage, since high productivity firms relative to low poach more workers than high wage firms relative to low. Employment cyclicality over the business cycle differs between the firm wage and productivity ladders. In recessions, employment decreases more in low than in high productivity firms. Low productivity firms fire more workers in recessions and stop hiring unemployed workers. Thus, there is a cleansing effect of recessions from the point of view of productivity reallocation. Oppositely, employment decreases more in high than in low wage firms, and the poaching channel of employment growth explains the difference. In recessions separations to other firms slow down more in low wage firms relative high wage firms and thus reallocation up the wage job ladder breaks down - a sullying effect of recessions. Thus recessions speed up productivity-enhancing reallocation but impede progression on the wage ladder.
Author | : Joseph G. Altonji |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 82 |
Release | : 2009 |
Genre | : Career development |
ISBN | : |
Download Modeling Earnings Dynamics Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
In this paper we use indirect inference to estimate a joint model of earnings, employment, job changes, wage rates, and work hours over a career. Our model incorporates duration dependence in several variables, multiple sources of unobserved heterogeneity, job-specific error components in both wages and hours, and measurement error. We use the model to address a number of important questions in labor economics, including the source of the experience profile of wages, the response of job changes to outside wage offers, and the effects of seniority on job changes. We provide estimates of the dynamic response of wage rates, hours, and earnings to various shocks and measure the relative contributions of the shocks to the variance of earnings in a given year and over a lifetime. We find that human capital accounts for most of the growth of earnings over a career although job seniority and job mobility also play significant roles. Unemployment shocks have a large impact on earnings in the short run as well a substantial long long-term effect that operates through the wage rate. Shocks associated with job changes and unemployment make a large contribution to the variance of career earnings and operate mostly through the job-specific error components in wages and hours.
Author | : Adrien G. Bilal |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2019 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Firm and Worker Dynamics in a Frictional Labor Market Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
This paper develops a random-matching model of a frictional labor market with firm and worker dynamics. Multi-worker firms choose whether to shrink or expand their employment in response to shocks to their decreasing returns to scale technology. Growing entails posting costly vacancies, which are filled either by the unemployed or by employees poached from other firms. Firms also choose when to enter and exit the market. Tractability is obtained by proving that, under a parsimonious set of assumptions, all workers' and firm decisions are characterized by their joint marginal surplus, which in turn only depends on the firm's productivity and size. As frictions vanish, the model converges to a standard competitive model of firm dynamics which allows a quantification of the misallocation cost of labor market frictions. An estimated version of the model yields cross-sectional patterns of net poaching by firm characteristics (e.g., age and size) that are in line with the micro data. The model also generates a drop in job-to-job transitions as firm entry declines, offering an interpretation to U.S. labor market dynamics around the Great Recession. All these outcomes are a reflection of the job ladder in marginal surplus that emerges in equilibrium.
Author | : Melvyn G. Coles |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 29 |
Release | : 2011 |
Genre | : Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download Equilibrium Wage and Employment Dynamics in a Model of Wage Posting Without Commitment Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
A rich but tractable variant of the Burdett-Mortensen model of wage setting behavior is formulated and a dynamic market equilibrium solution to the model is defined and characterized. In the model, firms cannot commit to wage contracts. Instead, the Markov perfect equilibrium to the wage setting game, characterized by Coles (2001), is assumed. In addition, firm recruiting decisions, firm entry and exit, and transitory firm productivity shocks are incorporated into the model Given that the cost of recruiting workers is proportional to firm employment, we establish the existence of an equilibrium solution to the model in which wages are not contingent on firm size but more productive employers always pay higher wages. Although the state space, the distribution of workers over firms, is large in the general case, it reduces to a scalar that can be interpreted as the unemployment rate in the special case of homogenous firms. Furthermore, the equilibrium is unique. As the dimension of the state space is equal to the number of firms types in general, an (approximate) equilibrium is computable -- National Bureau of Economic Research web site.