Measuring the Potential Output of South Africa

Measuring the Potential Output of South Africa
Author: Nir Klein
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2011-08-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475510144

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This paper provides an assessment of the South African potential output for the period 1985-2010 by applying both structural and nonstructural estimation techniques. The analysis suggests that, while potential output growth steadily accelerated in the post-apartheid era to about 3 1/2 percent (1994-2008), it has decelerated considerably following the outbreak of the financial crisis, as was observed in other advanced and emerging economies. While this indicates that, at around -1 1/ 2 percent, the estimated 2010 output gap was lower than previously thought, there is a fair amount of uncertainty regarding its "true" magnitude, reflecting in part the backward looking nature of the estimation methods. The paper concludes that the potential growth is likely to gradually revert to its precrisis pace and the output gap to have closed by early 2012.

Inter-regional Input-output Models

Inter-regional Input-output Models
Author: Hüsnü Kızılyallı
Publisher:
Total Pages: 123
Release: 1994
Genre: Input-output analysis
ISBN: 9789755180342

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Mineral Consumption Forecasting

Mineral Consumption Forecasting
Author: John B. Bennett
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 1986
Genre: Mineral industries
ISBN:

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