A Debt Intolerance Framework Applied to Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic

A Debt Intolerance Framework Applied to Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic
Author: Mr.Geoffrey J. Bannister
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2011-09-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463904223

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This paper presents an alternative method for calculating debt targets using the debt intolerance literature of Reinhart, Rogoff, and Savastano (2003) and Reinhart and Rogoff (2009). The methodology presented improves on the previous papers by using a dynamic panel approach, correcting for endogeneity in the regressors and basing the calculation of debt targets on credit ratings, a more objective criteria. In addition the study uses a new data base on general government debt covering 120 countries over 21 years. The paper suggests a ranking of Central America, Panama, and Dominican Republic (CAPDR) countries in terms of debt intolerance - an index which could be used to further investigate the main components of debt intolerance.

Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic
Author: Mr.Marco Pinon
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2012-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475572018

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Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic coped well with the global financial crisis of 2008-09. The impact was generally less severe and shorter lived than in previous episodes, the balance of payments adjustment was orderly, and the stability of the financial system was not compromised. This resilience can be attributed to a large extent to the strengthening of the fiscal frameworks, monetary management, and financial reforms conducted in the years preceding the global crisis. Nevertheless, the region faces considerable challenges for the period ahead, including the need to raise medium term growth above historical levels and protect macroeconomic and financial stability. This book argues that meeting these challenges will have to come from within, in light of the anticipated modest demand growth from trade partners. Raising growth in the region will depend on the adoption of structural reforms that generate substantial productivity gains. Rebuilding fiscal space and securing debt sustainability will hinge on efforts to increase tax revenue and reorienting spending to social and investment priorities. In the non-officially dollarized economies, it will also be essential to strengthen the monetary policy frameworks to keep inflation low and increase exchange rate flexibility, and improve financial regulation and supervision.

Paving the Way to Sustained Growth and Prosperity in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Paving the Way to Sustained Growth and Prosperity in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic
Author: Ms.Kimberly Beaton
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 308
Release: 2019-09-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484370287

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Abstract: Accelerating economic growth in Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic (CAPDR) remains an elusive task. While the region performed relatively well in the post-global financial crisis period, over the last five years obstacles to growth have become more evident and new challenges have emerged. In response, the region has strengthened macro-financial frameworks but more progress will be required to pave the way to sustained growth and prosperity. This book considers the structural factors underlying the region’s growth outlook and assesses its macroeconomic and financial challenges to help shape the policy agenda going forward. The book first identifies the structural determinants of growth in the region related to: capital formation; employment; demographic factors, including immigration; productivity; and violence. It then highlights the importance of creating fiscal space through the design and implementation of fiscal rules and mechanisms to increase accountability (better quality of public spending, adequate policies to reduce income inequality and sustainable retirement plans). Finally, it presents recent evidence on the importance of a supportive financial sector for growth (including through financial inclusion and development).

Excerpt: Paving the Way to Sustained Growth and Prosperity in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Excerpt: Paving the Way to Sustained Growth and Prosperity in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2018-07-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484370317

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This is an excerpt from Paving the Way to Growth and Prosperity in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic edited by Kimberly Beaton, Roberto Garcia Saltos, and Lorenzo Figliuoli. Over the past three decades, countries in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic have experienced sustained economic transfor-mation. The region has moved away from its rural and agricultural past to a modern and urban present and has significantly integrated its econ-omies regionally and globally. Many factors have shaped the region’s economic performance and are expected to contribute to its future development. The book aims to foster policy dialogue and contribute to the efforts to address the region’s unique challenges. The first part looks at the region’s growth with a view to understanding how structural determinants have contributed to the region’s uneven gains and the resulting priorities to strengthen the foundations of growth. The second part of the book high-lights the importance of addressing the region’s fiscal challenges and supporting growth and improved social outcomes. Finally, the third part of the book emphasizes the importance of a supportive financial sector for growth, including through financial inclusion and development. This excerpt is taken from uncorrected page proofs. Please check quota-tions and attributions against the final published volume.

Public Debt Markets in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Public Debt Markets in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic
Author: Laura Valderrama
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Total Pages: 150
Release: 2007-06-01
Genre:
ISBN: 9781451867114

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This paper-consisting of a regional study and seven country studies-reviews the state of domestic public debt markets in Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Panama as at end-2005. Although they account for the lion's share of capital markets, regional public debt markets remain underdeveloped for a variety of reasons. The problems of small scale, dollarization, and weak public finances in many countries are compounded by poor structure and composition of debt (with sizeable nonstandard and non-tradable components), fragmentation of public debt between central banks and the sovereigns and across instruments, poor debt management practices, weaknesses in securities market, and small investor bases all of which result in high transaction costs and a lack of liquid benchmarks. The paper also briefly discusses efforts towards and impediments to regional integration of public debt markets. The authorities recognize these problems and the paper takes note of the regional efforts to harmonize debt standards and improve issuance practices. It offers several recommendations to improve strategic debt management, issuance mechanics, and secondary trading.

Debt and Credit Quality in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Debt and Credit Quality in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic
Author: Guillermo Lagarda
Publisher:
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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Credit quality has long been associated with the level of indebtedness. But the sole fact that there are countries with high creditworthiness and large stocks of debt suggests that indebtedness is just one of many factors which determine credit quality. In this paper we investigate the role that economic fundamentals have on risk perception of public debt, through both direct and indirect effects. Countries are grouped into four clusters, each corresponding to a different stage of development in their economic fundamentals. We find that the effect of the debt burden on credit quality is conditional on the current level of economic fundamentals and the degree to which they are improving. A transition to stronger fundamentals would require moving to a better cluster but would ease pressure on any debt adjustment necessary to improve creditworthiness. Consequently, there are two types of approaches countries in CAPDR could focus on to improve credit quality. On the one hand, there are a set of actions which could be carried out in the short run to move within a particular group or cluster-fiscal toolkit. On the other hand, there are actions, which in the medium term may enable a country to transition to a group with better credit perception-structural changes.

Social Expenditure in Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic at a Glance

Social Expenditure in Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic at a Glance
Author: Marco Solera
Publisher: Inter-American Development Bank
Total Pages: 188
Release: 2016-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1597822515

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Social spending is a powerful tool to reduce poverty, achieve higher equality and better life conditions for the inhabitants of a country. In "Social Expenditure in Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic: 2007-2013", a characterization of the different variables that have taken social expenditure to its current position is performed. During the economic crisis period, many governments of the region confront this situation with an increase in social expenditures. However, part of the increase was centered on inflexible items, particularly wages, which facilitated the increase in fiscal deficits and, consequently, on public debt. Thus, after the financial crisis, the fiscal situation has reduced governments' buffers to respond to economic shocks, which imply that we need to examine the fiscal policy given its rigidity, the scarcity of public resources and the institutional contract. The study of wage bill increases provides more information related to the causes of this dynamic, and allow us to offer recommendations to improve spending management without threatening public finances. A better use of resources could contribute to define a more efficient and equitable agenda for the countries in the region. Finally, something that was not deeply explored, as of today, is the institutional complexity and how this could facilitate, or hinder, the government's ability to express its fiscal policy, including the effectiveness in the use of public resources.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010
Author: Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 128
Release: 2012-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475505531

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This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt

Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt
Author: Kevin Greenidge
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2012-06-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475514298

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This paper addresses the issue of threshold effects between public debt and economic growth in the Caribbean. The main finding is that there exists a threshold debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 55–56 percent. Moreover, the debt dynamics begin changing well before this threshold is reached. Specifically, at debt levels lower than 30 percent of GDP, increases in the debt-to-GDP ratio are associated with faster economic growth. However, as debt rises beyond 30 percent, the effects on economic growth diminishes rapidly and at debt levels reaching 55-56 percent of GDP, the growth impacts switch from positive to negative. Thus, beyond this threshold, debt becomes a drag on growth.

Institutional Frameworks for Social Policy in Latin America and the Caribbean

Institutional Frameworks for Social Policy in Latin America and the Caribbean
Author: Rodrigo Martínez
Publisher: UN
Total Pages: 312
Release: 2018
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:

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Foreword .-- Introduction .-- Part 1. Social policy institutions. -- Chapter I. Institutional framework for social development / Rodrigo Martínez, Carlos Maldonado Valera .-- Chapter II. Social development and social protection institutions in Latin America and the Caribbean: overview and challenges / Rodrigo Martínez, Carlos Maldonado Valera .-- Part 2. Components and institutional framewoek of social protection. -- Chapter III. Labour market regulation and social protection: institutional challenges / Mario D. Velásquez Pinto .-- Chapter IV. Institutional aspects of Latin America's pension systems / Andras Uthoff .-- Chapter V. Care as a pillar of social protection: rights, policies and institutions in Latin America / María Nieves Rico, Claudia Robles .-- Part 3. Policies for specific populations and their institutional framework .-- Chapter VI. Life cycle and social policies: youth institutions in the region / Daniela Trucco .-- Chapter VII. Disability and public policy: institutional progress and challenges in Latin America / Heidi Ullmann .-- Chapter VIII. Latin American Afrodescendants: institutional framework and public policies / Marta Rangel.