Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets

Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets
Author: Pardeep Singh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 13
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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Volatility spillover among major equity markets has long fascinated academicians and researchers alike. This paper presents an elaborate survey and analysis of the literature on the subject. Review of extant studies on various basis such as markets studied, methodology employed, among others has important implications for various stakeholders. We report that there has been wide variation in results because different studies have examined different markets using wide range of financial econometric methodologies. Some have considered only volatility or both volatility and spillover. Still others have incorporated the impact of global financial crisis on volatility spillover. Future researchers should examine if there is any volatility spillovers between various sectors of an economy, between different financial markets of the same economy, amongst same sectors of different markets, probe whether size effect is relevant, identify the transmission channels of volatility spillover, enumerate reasons behind volatility spillover, examine asymmetric volatility responses among stock markets and can use more advanced econometric techniques.

Price and Volatility Spillovers Across North American, European and Asian Stock Markets

Price and Volatility Spillovers Across North American, European and Asian Stock Markets
Author: Priyanka Singh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 43
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper investigates interdependence of fifteen world indices including an Indian market index in terms of return and volatility spillover effect. These markets are that of Canada, China, France, Germany, Hong-Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, Singapore, Taiwan, United Kingdom and United States. Vector autoregressive model (VAR 15) is used to estimate the conditional return spillover among these indices in which all fifteen indices are considered together. The effect of same day return in explaining the return spillover is also modeled using univariate models. Volatility spillover is estimated through AR-GARCH in which residuals from the index return is used as explanatory variable in GARCH equation. Return and volatility spillover between Indian and other markets are modeled through bivariate VAR and multivariate GARCH (BEKK) model respectively. It is found that there is greater regional influence among Asian markets in return and volatility than with European and US. Japanese market, which is first to open, is affected by US and European markets only and affects most of the Asian Markets. Also, high degree of correlation among European indices namely FTSE, CAC and DAX is observed. US market is influenced by both Asian and European markets. Specific to Indian context, it is found that Indian market is not cointegrated with rest of the world except Indonesia. However, strong short run interdependence is found between Indian markets and most of the other markets. Indian and other markets like US, Japan, Korea, and Canada positively affect each others' conditional returns significantly. Indian market also has significant effect on Malaysia, Pakistan, and Singapore return.

Are Volatility Spillovers Between Currency and Equity Market Driven by Economic States? Evidence from the US Economy

Are Volatility Spillovers Between Currency and Equity Market Driven by Economic States? Evidence from the US Economy
Author: Klaus Grobys
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study examines the volatility spillovers between the foreign exchange rate markets of three of the USA's major trading partners and the US stock market, utilizing the forecast-error variance decomposition framework of a VAR model proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009). The empirical results, based on a data set covering the period 1986-2014 suggest that the level of total volatility spillover effects is high only when they precede periods of economic turbulence. If the economy is quiet, volatility spillover effects are virtually non-existent.

Return and Volatility Spillovers Among the East Asian Equity Markets

Return and Volatility Spillovers Among the East Asian Equity Markets
Author: Kamil Yılmaz
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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This article examines the extent of contagion and interdependence across the East Asian equity markets since early 1990s and compares the ongoing crisis with earlier episodes. Using the forecast error variance decomposition from a vector autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences significant bursts during major market crises, including the East Asian crisis. The fact that both return and volatility spillover indices reached their respective peaks during the current global financial crisis attests to the severity of the current episode. -- Stock returns ; Volatility ; Spillovers ; Vector autoregression ; Variance decomposition

Volatility Spillover Effects Across Emerging Equity Markets of Pakistan, India, China and Bangladesh

Volatility Spillover Effects Across Emerging Equity Markets of Pakistan, India, China and Bangladesh
Author: Kashif Hamid
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

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The purpose of this empirical study is to identify the Volatility Spillover Effects across Emerging Equity Markets of Pakistan, India, China and Bangladesh for the period of Jan 2000 to Dec 2015 on daily data basis. Historical volatility Granger Causality, Spillover Effect model, Multivariate GARCH-BEKK model and MGARCH-CCC is used for this purpose. It is concluded that large negative shifts in volatility occur more often than positive shifts in volatility and large changes occur often over this period and there exist strong triangular effect among KSE to BSE then BSE to SS and SS to KSE. Empirical evidence indicates that GARCH parameters capture the response of volatility in KSE, BSE, SS and DSE. However KSE to BSE have significant spillover effect and BSE has significant spillover effect to SS and DSE. It is evident from the results that markets own spillovers are greater than the cross-market spillovers.

MENA Financial Markets

MENA Financial Markets
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2007
Genre: Corporations
ISBN:

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Return and Volatility Spillover Across Equity Markets Between China and Southeast Asian Countries

Return and Volatility Spillover Across Equity Markets Between China and Southeast Asian Countries
Author: Hung Ngo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 16
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

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Purpose - This paper aims to study the daily returns and volatility spillover effects in common stock prices between China and four countries in Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia).Design/methodology/approach - The analysis uses a vector autoregression with a bivariate GARCHBEKK model to capture return linkage and volatility transmission spanning the period including the pre- and post-2008 Global Financial Crisis.Findings - The main empirical result is that the volatility of the Chinese market has had a significant impact on the other markets in the data sample. For the stock return, linkage between China and other markets seems to be remarkable during and after the Global Financial Crisis. Notably, the findings also indicate that the stock markets are more substantially integrated into the crisis.Practical implications - The results have considerable implications for portfolio managers and institutional investors in the evaluation of investment and asset allocation decisions. The market participants should pay more attention to assess the worth of across linkages among the markets and their volatility transmissions. Additionally, international portfolio managers and hedgers may be better able to understand how the volatility linkage between stock markets interrelated overtime; this situation might provide them benefit in forecasting the behavior of this market by capturing the other market information.Originality/value - This paper would complement the emerging body of existing literature by examining how China stock market impacts on their neighboring countries including Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia. Furthermore, this is the first investigation capturing return linkage and volatility spill over between China market and the four Southeast Asian markets by using bivariate VAR-GARCH-BEKK model. The authors believe that the results of this research's empirical analysis would amplify the systematic understanding of spillover activities between China stock market and other stock markets.

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy
Author: Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 620
Release: 2016-04-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319282018

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This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

International Financial Contagion

International Financial Contagion
Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 461
Release: 2013-04-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475733143

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No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.

Stock Market Volatility

Stock Market Volatility
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 654
Release: 2009-04-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1420099558

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Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel