Why Can't You Afford a Home?

Why Can't You Afford a Home?
Author: Josh Ryan-Collins
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 140
Release: 2018-11-26
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1509523294

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Throughout the Western world, a whole generation is being priced out of the housing market. For millions of people, particularly millennials, the basic goal of acquiring decent, affordable accommodation is a distant dream. Leading economist Josh Ryan-Collins argues that to understand this crisis, we must examine a crucial paradox at the heart of modern capitalism. The interaction of private home ownership and a lightly regulated commercial banking system leads to a feedback cycle. Unlimited credit and money flows into an inherently finite supply of property, which causes rising house prices, declining home ownership, rising inequality and debt, stagnant growth and financial instability. Radical reforms are needed to break the cycle. This engaging and topical book will be essential reading for anyone who wants to understand why they can’t find an affordable home, and what we can do about it.

The Great Housing Bubble

The Great Housing Bubble
Author: Lawrence Roberts
Publisher: Monterey Cypress LLC
Total Pages: 251
Release: 2008
Genre: Art
ISBN: 0615226930

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A detailed analysis of the psychological and mechanical causes of the biggest rally, and subsequent fall, of housing prices ever recorded. Examines the causes of the breathtaking rise in prices and the catastrophic fall that ensued to answer the question on every homeowner's mind: "Why did house prices fall?"--Page 4 of cover

House Prices and Inflation

House Prices and Inflation
Author: John A. Tuccillo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 200
Release: 1981
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Price Expectations and the U.S. Housing Boom

Price Expectations and the U.S. Housing Boom
Author: Pascal Towbin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2015-07-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513581279

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Between 1996 and 2006 the U.S. has experienced an unprecedented boom in house prices. As it has proven to be difficult to explain the large price increase by observable fundamentals, many observers have emphasized the role of speculation, i.e. expectations about future price developments. The argument is, however, often indirect: speculation is treated as a deviation from a benchmark. The present paper aims to identify house price expectation shocks directly. To that purpose, we estimate a VAR model for the U.S. and use sign restrictions to identify house price expectation, housing supply, housing demand, and mortgage rate shocks. House price expectation shocks are the most important driver of the boom and account for about 30 percent of the real house price increase. We also construct a model-based measure of exogenous changes in price expectations and show that this measure leads a survey-based measure of changes in house price expectations. Our main identification scheme leaves open whether expectation shifts are realistic or unrealistic. In extensions, we provide evidence that price expectation shifts during the boom were primarily unrealistic and were only marginally affected by realistic expectations about future fundamentals.

Housing Boom and Headline Inflation: Insights from Machine Learning

Housing Boom and Headline Inflation: Insights from Machine Learning
Author: Yang Liu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2022-07-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Inflation has been rising during the pandemic against supply chain disruptions and a multi-year boom in global owner-occupied house prices. We present some stylized facts pointing to house prices as a leading indicator of headline inflation in the U.S. and eight other major economies with fast-rising house prices. We then apply machine learning methods to forecast inflation in two housing components (rent and owner-occupied housing cost) of the headline inflation and draw tentative inferences about inflationary impact. Our results suggest that for most of these countries, the housing components could have a relatively large and sustained contribution to headline inflation, as inflation is just starting to reflect the higher house prices. Methodologically, for the vast majority of countries we analyze, machine-learning models outperform the VAR model, suggesting some potential value for incorporating such models into inflation forecasting.

House Poor

House Poor
Author: June Fletcher
Publisher: Harper Collins
Total Pages: 226
Release: 2010-05-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0062010484

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The housing market, like any other investment, has always had its ups and downs. But ever since it started its upswing at the beginning of this decade, the ride has become more thrilling—and more dangerous. One day, home values are skyrocketing and cheap money is up for grabs; the next day, houses linger on the market and interest rates rise alarmingly high. Home buyers and sellers are beginning to recognize that however the market moves where they live, they must be prepared to make smart housing decisions. Written by veteran real estate reporter June Fletcher, House Poor teaches you everything you need to know to weather the ups and downs of the housing market, including: How to tell whether your hometown is likely to boom or bust When to take equity out of your house How to buy as a first-time home owner or as an investor during turbulent times How to protect your home investment When and how to sell your home Today's volatile housing market could make you house poor. This book will keep you house proud.

House Prices and the Macroeconomy

House Prices and the Macroeconomy
Author: Charles Goodhart
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 247
Release: 2007
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199204594

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House price bubbles, and their aftermath, have become a focus of macro-economic policy concern in most developed countries. This book elucidates the two-way relationship between house-price fluctuations and economic fundamentals. Housing has many features which make it distinct from other assets, like equity. Real estate is not only an asset but also a durable consumption good for households, providing shelter and other housing services. As a result, a house is often the largest and most important asset of households and therefore accounts for a major share of household wealth. Similarly a large share of bank assets is tied to housing values. House price fluctuations may, therefore, have a major effect on economic activity and the soundness of the financial system. Following an introductory chapter, the book is structured into three parts. The first demonstrates the importance of house prices as determinants or indicators of inflation and economic activity. The second focuses on the inter-relationships between bank credit extension and housing prices, and how bubbles can lead to financial crises. The third discusses resultant public policy issues, such as whether, and how, to include housing prices in a general inflation index, and how to restrain the housing/bank credit cycle.

Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US

Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US
Author: Mr.Damien Puy
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2020-02-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513529269

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We test whether foreign demand matters for local house prices in the US using an identification strategy based on the existence of “home bias abroad” in international real estate markets. Following an extreme political crisis event abroad, a proxy for a strong and exogenous shift in foreign demand, we show that house prices rise disproportionately more in neighbourhoods with a high concentration of population originating from the crisis country. This effect is strong, persistent, and robust to the exclusion of major cities. We also show that areas that were already expensive in the late 1990s have experienced the strongest foreign demand shocks and the biggest drop in affordability between 2000 and 2017. Our findings suggest a non-trivial causal effect of foreign demand shocks on local house prices over the last 20 years, especially in neighbourhoods that were already rather unaffordable for the median household.

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies
Author: Ms.Nan Geng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2018-07-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484367626

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House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.