The $600 Billion Increase in the U.S. Trade Deficit Since 1980 Has Led to the Loss of Three Million U.S. Manufacturing Jobs

The $600 Billion Increase in the U.S. Trade Deficit Since 1980 Has Led to the Loss of Three Million U.S. Manufacturing Jobs
Author: Robert Z. Aliber
Publisher:
Total Pages: 11
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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U.S. manufacturing employment has declined from a peak of nearly twenty million in 1979 to less than thirteen million in 2018. The U.S. trade deficit has increased by $600 billion, about 3 percent of U.S. GDP, since 1980. The first question analyzed in this paper is how much of the decline in U.S. manufacturing jobs since 1980 can be attributed to the increase in the U.S. trade deficit? Economists and analysts agree that the changes in the trade balance of a country reflect changes in the relationship between its domestic saving and its investment and fiscal deficit. The conventional view is that the U.S. international investment position evolved from the world's largest creditor in 1980 to the world's largest debtor in 1990 because of the increase in U.S. profligacy, including the surge in the U.S. fiscal deficit because of the two supply-side-inspired tax cuts during the Reagan presidency and the increase in defense expenditures. The competing view is that the saving in many of the major U.S. trading partners has been large relative to the domestic investment spending, and that some of the excess savings have flowed to the United States, which has led to a higher price for the U.S. dollar and a larger U.S. trade deficit. It is difficult to identify a country that believes its trade and current account surpluses are too large. The U.S. trade balance is the mirror of the trade balances of all other countries as a group. The United States developed a trade deficit because China, Germany, the Netherlands, Singapore, and numerous other countries developed trade surpluses that at times were larger than 5 percent of their GDPs.

Shifting Blame for Manufacturing Job Loss

Shifting Blame for Manufacturing Job Loss
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

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Many economic observers have recently exonerated international trade flows for the hemorrhaging job losses in the manufacturing sector of the United States, generally claiming that either changing demand patterns or rapid productivity growth are the cause of manufacturing's decline. But the evidence shows that trade imbalances in manufacturing have accounted for 59% of the decline in manufacturing employment since 1998. The manufacturing sector lost more than three million jobs between 1998 and 2003, with 2.7 million lost since the immediate pre-recession year of 2000. Roughly coinciding with this manufacturing employment loss, the trade deficit in manufactured goods increased by over $230 billion. The synchronicity of large-scale manufacturing job loss and growing trade deficits has led to a debate about whether international trade flows have contributed to the loss of manufacturing jobs.

Innovation Economics

Innovation Economics
Author: Robert D. Atkinson
Publisher: Yale University Press
Total Pages: 441
Release: 2012-09-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0300168993

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Examines the forces reshaping the global economy that favor nations committed to technological innovations, and assesses what the lack of an innovation policy could mean for the U.S. in the future.

The USA and The World 2014

The USA and The World 2014
Author: David M. Keithly
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 286
Release: 2014-08-14
Genre: History
ISBN: 1475812345

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Instant interpretive history is a difficult and demanding task, and certainly more of an art than some would suggest. USA and the World describes not only what happened, but puts events in the context of the past and criticizes policy actions as appropriate.

USITC Publication

USITC Publication
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 946
Release: 1983
Genre:
ISBN:

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Federal Trade Commission Reauthorization

Federal Trade Commission Reauthorization
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Commerce, Transportation, and Tourism
Publisher:
Total Pages: 908
Release: 1982
Genre: Government publications
ISBN:

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U.S. Industrial Outlook

U.S. Industrial Outlook
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 652
Release: 1994
Genre: Industries
ISBN:

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