Reducing the Risk of Black Swans: Using the Science of Investing to Capture Returns with Less Volatility, 2018 Edition

Reducing the Risk of Black Swans: Using the Science of Investing to Capture Returns with Less Volatility, 2018 Edition
Author: Larry Swedroe
Publisher:
Total Pages: 206
Release: 2018-02-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780692060742

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The 2018 updated edition from authors Larry Swedroe and Kevin Grogan. From Larry Swedroe, author of the bestselling series of "The Only Guide" investment books, and Kevin Grogan, co-author of "The Only Guide You'll Ever Need for the Right Financial Plan," comes the 2018 edition of "Reducing the Risk of Black Swans." Designed for professional financial advisors and educated investors alike, Swedroe and Grogan wrote this book especially for those looking to expand their technical knowledge of the evidence-based investing world. "Swans" provides an in-depth look at portfolio construction and offers a roadmap for those interested in refining their portfolio. From CAPM to the three-factor model, Swedroe and Grogan present some of the academic underpinnings that have led to what we now commonly recognize to be modern financial theory. Taking it one step further, they provide specifics on what it takes to build a more efficient portfolio, in particular using new alternative investments. Based on an overwhelming amount of hard data and research, Swedroe and Grogan make their case for reducing the risk of black swans.

Summary of Larry Swedroe & Kevin Grogan's Reducing the Risk of Black Swans

Summary of Larry Swedroe & Kevin Grogan's Reducing the Risk of Black Swans
Author: Everest Media
Publisher: Everest Media LLC
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2022-02-24T19:41:00Z
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1669348172

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Please note: This is a companion version & not the original book. Sample Book Insights: #1 Investors who extrapolate past stock market returns into the future fail to take into account the fact that current stock market valuations have a significant impact on future returns. The Gordon Constant Growth Dividend Discount Model, for example, predicts future real stock market returns of about 4 to 5 percent. #2 The second mistake investors make is to treat the expected return of their portfolio as deterministic rather than the mean of a potentially wide dispersion of possible returns. #3 Portfolios with a high standard deviation aren’t very appealing to most investors, since they are generally risk averse. They will take on more risk to get more return, even if that means sacrificing some of the great returns in the right tail of the distribution. #4 The Capital Asset Pricing Model, or CAPM, is a mathematical equation that determines a stock’s expected return. It was created in the 1950s and is still used today. However, it has been proven time and time again to be inaccurate, and does not take into account the impact of risk.

High Returns from Low Risk

High Returns from Low Risk
Author: Pim van Vliet
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 180
Release: 2017-01-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119351057

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Believing "high-risk equals high-reward" is holding your portfolio hostage High Returns from Low Risk proves that low-volatility, low-risk portfolios beat high-volatility portfolios hands down, and shows you how to take advantage of this paradox to dramatically improve your returns. Investors traditionally view low-risk stocks as safe but unprofitable, but this old canard is based on a flawed premise; it fails to see beyond the monthly horizon, and ignores compounding returns. This book updates the thinking and brings reality to modelling to show how low-risk stocks actually outperform high-risk stocks by an order of magnitude. Easy to read and easy to implement, the plan presented here will help you construct a portfolio that delivers higher returns per unit of risk, and explains how to achieve excellent investment results over the long term. Do you still believe that investors are rewarded for bearing risk, and that the higher the risk, the greater the reward? That old axiom is holding you back, and it is time to start seeing the whole picture. This book shows you, through deep historical simulation, how to reap the rewards of smarter investing. Learn how and why low-risk, low-volatility stocks beat the market Discover the formula that outperforms Greenblatt's Construct your own low-risk portfolio Select the right ETF or low-risk fund to manage your money Great returns and lower risk sound like a winning combination — what happens once everyone is doing it? The beauty of the low-risk strategy is that it continues to work even after the paradox is widely known; long-term investment success is possible for anyone who can shake off the entrenched wisdom and go low-risk. High Returns from Low Risk provides the proof, model and strategy to reign in your exposure while raking in the profit.

Shut Up and Keep Talking

Shut Up and Keep Talking
Author: Bob Pisani
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
Total Pages: 480
Release: 2022-10-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0857199226

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Bob Pisani is Senior Markets Correspondent for CNBC and has spent the past 25 years on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. He has been on the front line of finance for all the major events of the last quarter century, including the Asian Financial Crisis, the dot-com bubble and collapse, the terrorist attacks of 9/11, and the Great Financial Crisis. What was it like to witness these events firsthand, at the center of the financial world? In Shut Up and Keep Talking, Bob tells a series of captivating stories that reveal what he has learned about life and investing. These include encounters with a host of stars, world leaders and CEOs, including Fidel Castro, Robert Downey Jr., Walter Cronkite, Aretha Franklin, Barry Manilow, Jack Ma, Joey Ramone, and many more. Along the way, Bob describes how the investment world has changed, from brokers shouting on the floor of the NYSE to fully electronic trading, from investment sages and superstars picking stocks for exorbitant fees to the phenomenal rise of low-cost index funds that are saving investors millions, and from the belief that investors make rational decisions to the new age of behavioral finance, which recognizes the often-irrational nature of human decision making and seeks to understand its role in the stock market. Bob also considers what really moves stocks up and down and tackles the big questions: why is stock picking so hard, and why is the future so unknowable? Don’t miss this highly entertaining and revealing account of how financial markets have changed, and how they really work, from someone who was there.

Black Swans, Beta, Risk, and Return

Black Swans, Beta, Risk, and Return
Author: Javier Estrada
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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Beta has been a controversial measure of risk ever since it was proposed almost half a century ago, and we do not pretend to settle with this article what decades of research has not. We do, however, take advantage of the recent trend of investing in countries and industries through index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as well as a renewed interest on the impact of black swans, and explore the merits of beta in that context. Ultimately, we ask two questions: 1) Is beta a good measure of risk? And, 2) is beta a valuable tool for portfolio selection? Our evidence, spanning over 47 countries, 57 industries, and four decades finds beta to be useful in both dimensions. More precisely, when negative black swans hit the market, high-beta portfolios fall substantially more than low-beta portfolios; furthermore, a strategy that reacts to black swans by selecting portfolios on the basis of beta clearly outperforms a passive investment in the world market.

The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You'll Ever Need

The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You'll Ever Need
Author: Larry E. Swedroe
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Total Pages: 238
Release: 2010-05-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470885335

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The rewards of carefully chosen alternative investments can be great. But many investors don’t know enough about unfamiliar investments to make wise choices. For that reason, financial advisers Larry Swedroe and Jared Kizer designed this book to bring investors up to speed on the twenty most popular alternative investments: Real estate, Inflation-protected securities, Commodities, International equities, Fixed annuities, Stable-value funds, High-yield (junk) bonds, Private equity (venture capital), Covered calls, Socially responsible mutual funds, Precious metals equities, Preferred stocks, Convertible bonds, Emerging market bonds, Hedge funds, Leveraged buyouts, Variable annuities, Equity-indexed annuities, Structured investment products, Leveraged funds The authors describe how the investments work, the pros and cons of each, which to consider, which to avoid, and how to get started. Swedroe and Kizer evaluate each investment in terms of: Expected returns Volatility Distribution of returns Diversification potential Fees Trading and operating expenses Liquidity Tax efficiency Account location Role in an asset-allocation program Any investor who is considering or just curious about investment opportunities outside the traditional world of stocks, bonds, and bank certificates of deposit would be well-advised to read this book.

The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You'll Ever Need

The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You'll Ever Need
Author: Larry E. Swedroe
Publisher: Macmillan + ORM
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2005-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1429972955

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Investment professional Larry E. Swedroe describes the crucial difference between "active" and "passive" mutual funds, and tells you how you can win the investment game through long-term investments in such indexes as the S&P 500 instead of through the active buying and selling of stocks. A revised and updated edition of an investment classic, The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You'll Ever Need remains clear, understandable, and effective. This edition contains a new chapter comparing index funds, ETFs, and passive asset class funds, an expanded section on portfolio care and maintenance, the addition of Swedroe's 15 Rules of Prudent Investing, and much more. In clear language, Swedroe shows how the newer index mutual funds out-earn, out-perform, and out-compound the older funds, and how to select a balance "passive" portfolio for the long hail that will repay you many times over. This indispensable book also provides you with valuable information about: - The efficiency of markets today - The five factors that determine expected returns of a balanced equity and fixed income portfolio - Important facts about volatility, return, and risk - Six steps to building a diversified portfolio using Modern Portfolio Theory - Implementing the winning strategy - and more.

Discover the Upside of Down

Discover the Upside of Down
Author: Ron Coby
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 272
Release: 2009-01-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470442972

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Discover the Upside of Down enlightens readers and give them investment strategies for both protection and profits. Chapters include information on the hot button economic topics of today and for the foreseeable future: oil, gold, real estate, stocks, the dollar, the U.S. and global economies and the future outlook from a longterm viewpoint for each. A timely book with a timely message, this book targets the investor concerned about maintaining their investments during volatile times.

Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing

Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing
Author: Andrew L. Berkin
Publisher:
Total Pages: 360
Release: 2016-10-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780692783658

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There are hundreds of exhibits in the investment "factor zoo." Which ones are actually worth your time, and your money? Andrew L. Berkin and Larry E. Swedroe, co-authors of The Incredible Shrinking Alpha, bring you a thorough yet still jargon-free and accessible guide to applying one of today's most valuable quantitative, evidence-based approaches to outperforming the market: factor investing. Designed for savvy investors and professional advisors alike, Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing: The Way Smart Money Invests Today takes you on a journey through the land of academic research and an extensive review of its 50-year quest to uncover the secret of successful investing. Along the way, Berkin and Swedroe cite and distill more than 100 academic papers on finance and introduce five unique criteria that a factor (at its most basic, a characteristic or set of characteristics common among a broad set of securities) must meet to be considered worthy of your investment. In addition to providing explanatory power to portfolio returns and delivering a premium, Swedroe and Berkin argue a factor should be persistent, pervasive, robust, investable and intuitive. By the end, you'll have learned that, within the entire "factor zoo," only certain exhibits are worth visiting and only a handful of factors are required to invest in the same manner that made Warren Buffett a legend. Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing: The Way Smart Money Invests Today offers an in-depth look at the evidence practitioners use to build portfolios and how you as an investor can benefit from that knowledge, rendering it an essential resource for making the informed and prudent investment decisions necessary to help secure your financial future.

The Incredible Shrinking Alpha 2nd edition

The Incredible Shrinking Alpha 2nd edition
Author: Andrew L. Berkin
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
Total Pages: 220
Release: 2020-08-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0857198254

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Active managers persistently lag the returns of benchmarks and index funds that track them, with the excuses for underperformance recycled every year. This comprehensive book is the antidote for the active managers’ siren song. If you understand the benefits of indexing, or systematic investing, it will reinforce your commitment while increasing your knowledge. If you don’t yet believe, Swedroe and Berkin provide a compelling case that you’re playing the loser’s game of active management. Alpha, or outperformance against appropriate risk-adjusted benchmarks, is shrinking as it gets converted into beta, or factor exposures. They demonstrate that even for the most talented managers, their ability to add value is waning because: the amount of alpha available is declining; it must be split among an increasing amount of investment dollars; and the competition is getting tougher. In this greatly expanded second edition, Swedroe and Berkin show you how to develop an investment plan that focuses on what risks to take, and how much of them, as well as how to build a diversified portfolio. They present a list of vehicles to consider when implementing your plan and provide guidance on the care and maintenance of your portfolio. As a bonus they add appendices that will make you a more informed and, therefore, better investor. This makes The Incredible Shrinking Alpha a complete guide to successful investment strategy.