Modelling Irregularly Spaced Financial Data

Modelling Irregularly Spaced Financial Data
Author: Nikolaus Hautsch
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 297
Release: 2011-01-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642170153

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This book provides a methodological framework to model univariate and multivariate irregularly spaced financial data. It gives a thorough review of recent developments in the econometric literature, puts forward existing approaches and opens up new directions. The book presents alternative ways to model so-called financial point processes using dynamic duration as well as intensity models and discusses their ability to account for specific features of point process data, like the occurrence of time-varying covariates, censoring mechanisms and multivariate structures. Moreover, it illustrates the use of various types of financial point processes to model financial market activity from different viewpoints and to construct volatility and liquidity measures under explicit consideration of the passing trading time.

State-Space Models

State-Space Models
Author: Yong Zeng
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 358
Release: 2013-08-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1461477891

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State-space models as an important mathematical tool has been widely used in many different fields. This edited collection explores recent theoretical developments of the models and their applications in economics and finance. The book includes nonlinear and non-Gaussian time series models, regime-switching and hidden Markov models, continuous- or discrete-time state processes, and models of equally-spaced or irregularly-spaced (discrete or continuous) observations. The contributed chapters are divided into four parts. The first part is on Particle Filtering and Parameter Learning in Nonlinear State-Space Models. The second part focuses on the application of Linear State-Space Models in Macroeconomics and Finance. The third part deals with Hidden Markov Models, Regime Switching and Mathematical Finance and the fourth part is on Nonlinear State-Space Models for High Frequency Financial Data. The book will appeal to graduate students and researchers studying state-space modeling in economics, statistics, and mathematics, as well as to finance professionals.

Econometric Analysis of Discrete-Valued Irregularly-Spaced Financial Transactions Data Using a New Autoregressive Conditional Multinomial Model

Econometric Analysis of Discrete-Valued Irregularly-Spaced Financial Transactions Data Using a New Autoregressive Conditional Multinomial Model
Author: Jeffrey R. Russell
Publisher:
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper proposes a new approach to modeling financial transactions data. A model for discrete valued time series is introduced in the context of generalized linear models. Since the model specifies probabilities of return outcomes conditional on both the previous state and the historic distribution, we call the it the Autoregressive Conditional Multinomial (ACM) model. Recognizing that prices are observed only at transactions, the process is interpreted as a marked point process. The ACD model proposed in Engle and Russell (1998) allows for joint modeling of the price transition probabilities and the arrival times of the transactions. The transition probabilities are formulated to allow general types of duration dependence. Estimation and testing are based on Maximum Likelihood methods. The data are IBM transactions from the TORQ dataset. Variations of the model allow for volume and spreads to impact the conditional distribution of price changes. Impulse response studies show the long run price impact of a transaction can be very sensitive to volume but is less sensitive to the spread and transaction rate.

Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data

Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data
Author: Stavros Degiannakis
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 411
Release: 2016-04-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137396490

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The global financial crisis has reopened discussion surrounding the use of appropriate theoretical financial frameworks to reflect the current economic climate. There is a need for more sophisticated analytical concepts which take into account current quantitative changes and unprecedented turbulence in the financial markets. This book provides a comprehensive guide to the quantitative analysis of high frequency financial data in the light of current events and contemporary issues, using the latest empirical research and theory. It highlights and explains the shortcomings of theoretical frameworks and provides an explanation of high-frequency theory, emphasising ways in which to critically apply this knowledge within a financial context. Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data combines traditional and updated theories and applies them to real-world financial market situations. It will be a valuable and accessible resource for anyone wishing to understand quantitative analysis and modelling in current financial markets.

Econometrics of Financial High-Frequency Data

Econometrics of Financial High-Frequency Data
Author: Nikolaus Hautsch
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 381
Release: 2011-10-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 364221925X

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The availability of financial data recorded on high-frequency level has inspired a research area which over the last decade emerged to a major area in econometrics and statistics. The growing popularity of high-frequency econometrics is driven by technological progress in trading systems and an increasing importance of intraday trading, liquidity risk, optimal order placement as well as high-frequency volatility. This book provides a state-of-the art overview on the major approaches in high-frequency econometrics, including univariate and multivariate autoregressive conditional mean approaches for different types of high-frequency variables, intensity-based approaches for financial point processes and dynamic factor models. It discusses implementation details, provides insights into properties of high-frequency data as well as institutional settings and presents applications to volatility and liquidity estimation, order book modelling and market microstructure analysis.