The Puzzle of Brazil's High Interest Rates

The Puzzle of Brazil's High Interest Rates
Author: Mr.Alex Segura-Ubiergo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2012-02-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463948263

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This paper highlights that real interest rates in Brazil have declined substantially over time, but are still well above the average of emerging market inflation targeting regimes. The adoption of an inflation-targeting regime and better economic fundamentals (reduction in inflation volatility and improvements in the fiscal and external positions) has helped Brazil sustain significantly lower real interest rates than in the past. Going forward, the paper shows that Brazil can converge towards lower equilibrium real interest rates if domestic savings increase to the level of other emerging market countries. The effect is particularly pronounced if the increase in domestic savings is achieved through higher levels of public savings. Still, econometric results suggest that, controlling for everything else in the model, real interest rates in Brazil are about two full percentage points higher than in other countries in the sample, suggesting that there are still Brazil-specific factors that have not been captured by the empirical analysis. Some of these factors may include credit market segmentation and inflation inertia generated by still pervasive indexation practices.

Monetary Indexation in Brazil

Monetary Indexation in Brazil
Author: Gilberto de Ulhôa Canto
Publisher:
Total Pages: 210
Release: 1983
Genre: Brazil
ISBN:

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Compilation of papers dealing with monetary correction, accounting principles, and indexation in the Brazilian law and tax system.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil
Author: Ms.Agnes Belaisch
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2003-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451856202

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In the last two years the real has undergone a large depreciation and the central bank has missed its inflation target in 2002 for the second year in a row. Inflation, however, has increased much less than the rate of currency depreciation and the pickup in inflation in the last quarter of 2002 raises the question of whether the exchange rate passthrough has finally risen. This paper argues that the passthrough in Brazil has fallen compared with estimates in other studies on earlier time periods, and remains low when compared with the passthrough in other Latin American countries. Indeed the passthrough is more comparable with that of G-7 countries—although in Brazil the effect on prices appears to be faster.

Living with Inflation in Brazil

Living with Inflation in Brazil
Author: Thomas Griffin Sanders
Publisher:
Total Pages: 12
Release: 1985
Genre: Brazil
ISBN:

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Inflation Targeting, Debt, and the Brazilian Experience, 1999 to 2003

Inflation Targeting, Debt, and the Brazilian Experience, 1999 to 2003
Author: Francesco Giavazzi
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 330
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262072595

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How Brazil's monetary and fiscal policies survived a series of severe economic shocks and the policy lessons for other countries. Inflation targeting -- when central bank policies set specific inflation rate objectives -- is widely used by both developed and developing countries around the world (although not by the United States or the European Central Bank). This collection of original essays looks at how Brazil's policy of inflation targeting, coupled with a floating exchange rate, survived a series of severe economic shocks and examines the policy lessons that can be drawn from Brazil's experience. After a successful start in early 1999, Brazil's policy regime had to manage mounting difficulties, including a sudden reversal of capital flows and its effects on the exchange rate and public debt, the contagion of Argentina's severe economic problems, a domestic energy crisis, and the political uncertainty of the 2002 presidential campaign. The contributors, prominent Brazilian and international economists, draw important lessons from Brazil's experience, including the necessity of accompanying monetary policy with fiscal improvement, the trade-offs involved in dollar-linked debt, the importance of fiscal institutions in an emerging market economy, and the importance of keeping inflation under control.

Who Would Vote for Inflation in Brazil?

Who Would Vote for Inflation in Brazil?
Author: Cheikh Tidiane Kane
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 34
Release: 1993
Genre: Brasil - Condiciones economicas
ISBN:

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Are Brazil's delays in adopting a stabilization program related to the finding that Brazil's high inflation hurts the lower and middle classes far more than the rich, who insulate themselves from its effect by taking advantage of high real interest rates on demand deposits?

Indexing

Indexing
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs. Subcommittee on Production and Stabilization
Publisher:
Total Pages: 82
Release: 1974
Genre: Index numbers (Economics)
ISBN:

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Learning from Failed Stabilisation

Learning from Failed Stabilisation
Author: Carlos D. Winograd
Publisher:
Total Pages: 68
Release: 1995
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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