Forecasting
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Author | : Rob J Hyndman |
Publisher | : OTexts |
Total Pages | : 380 |
Release | : 2018-05-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0987507117 |
Download Forecasting: principles and practice Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Author | : Nada Sanders |
Publisher | : Business Expert Press |
Total Pages | : 110 |
Release | : 2016-11-14 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1606498711 |
Download Forecasting Fundamentals Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
This book is for everyone who wants to make better forecasts. It is not about mathematics and statistics. It is about following a well-established forecasting process to create and implement good forecasts. This is true whether you are forecasting global markets, sales of SKUs, competitive strategy, or market disruptions. Today, most forecasts are generated using software. However, no amount of technology and statistics can compensate for a poor forecasting process. Forecasting is not just about generating a number. Forecasters need to understand the problems they are trying to solve. They also need to follow a process that is justifiable to other parties and be implemented in practice. This is what the book is about. Accurate forecasts are essential for predicting demand, identifying new market opportunities, forecasting risks, disruptions, innovation, competition, market growth and trends. Companies can navigate this daunting landscape and improve their forecasts by following some well-established principles. This book is written to provide the fundamentals business leaders need in order to make good forecasts. These fundamentals hold true regardless of what is being forecast and what technology is being used. It provides the basic foundational principles all companies need to achieve competitive forecast accuracy.
Author | : Francis X. Diebold |
Publisher | : Cengage Learning |
Total Pages | : 426 |
Release | : 1998 |
Genre | : Forecasting |
ISBN | : |
Download Elements of Forecasting Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Elements of Forecasting is a concise, modern survey of business and economics forecasting methods. Written by one of the world's leading experts on forecasting, it focuses on the core techniques of widest applicability and assumes only an elementary background in statistics. It is applications-oriented and illustrates all methods with detailed examples and case studies.
Author | : Michael C. Dietze |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 285 |
Release | : 2017-05-30 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1400885450 |
Download Ecological Forecasting Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
An authoritative and accessible introduction to the concepts and tools needed to make ecology a more predictive science Ecologists are being asked to respond to unprecedented environmental challenges. How can they provide the best available scientific information about what will happen in the future? Ecological Forecasting is the first book to bring together the concepts and tools needed to make ecology a more predictive science. Ecological Forecasting presents a new way of doing ecology. A closer connection between data and models can help us to project our current understanding of ecological processes into new places and times. This accessible and comprehensive book covers a wealth of topics, including Bayesian calibration and the complexities of real-world data; uncertainty quantification, partitioning, propagation, and analysis; feedbacks from models to measurements; state-space models and data fusion; iterative forecasting and the forecast cycle; and decision support. Features case studies that highlight the advances and opportunities in forecasting across a range of ecological subdisciplines, such as epidemiology, fisheries, endangered species, biodiversity, and the carbon cycle Presents a probabilistic approach to prediction and iteratively updating forecasts based on new data Describes statistical and informatics tools for bringing models and data together, with emphasis on: Quantifying and partitioning uncertainties Dealing with the complexities of real-world data Feedbacks to identifying data needs, improving models, and decision support Numerous hands-on activities in R available online
Author | : Brian C. Twiss |
Publisher | : IET |
Total Pages | : 246 |
Release | : 1992 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 9780863412851 |
Download Forecasting for Technologists and Engineers Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
This book is written for all technologists and engineers. To those unfamiliar with forecasting it may appear a somewhat esoteric activity with little relevance to the everyday technical concerns of the reader. This is not so. The aim of this book is to show how forecasting can improve the quality of technical decision making. Furthermore, this can be accomplished without the use of highly sophisticated techniques which can only be applied by specialists. The approaches described in this book can be easily understood and used by all its readers.
Author | : Douglas C. Montgomery |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 740 |
Release | : 2024-07-30 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 139418669X |
Download Time Series Forecasting Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Bring the latest statistical tools to bear on predicting future variables and outcomes A huge range of fields rely on forecasts of how certain variables and causal factors will affect future outcomes, from product sales to inflation rates to demographic changes. Time series analysis is the branch of applied statistics which generates forecasts, and its sophisticated use of time oriented data can vastly impact the quality of crucial predictions. The latest computing and statistical methodologies are constantly being sought to refine these predictions and increase the confidence with which important actors can rely on future outcomes. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting presents a comprehensive overview of the methodologies required to produce these forecasts with the aid of time-oriented data sets. The potential applications for these techniques are nearly limitless, and this foundational volume has now been updated to reflect the most advanced tools. The result, more than ever, is an essential introduction to a core area of statistical analysis. Readers of the third edition of Time Series Analysis and Forecasting will also find: Updates incorporating JMP, SAS, and R software, with new examples throughout Over 300 exercises and 50 programming algorithms that balance theory and practice Supplementary materials in the e-book including solutions to many problems, data sets, and brand-new explanatory videos covering the key concepts and examples from each chapter. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting is ideal for graduate and advanced undergraduate courses in the areas of data science and analytics and forecasting and time series analysis. It is also an outstanding reference for practicing data scientists.
Author | : Ralf Brüggemann |
Publisher | : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG |
Total Pages | : 176 |
Release | : 2016-11-21 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3110510847 |
Download Economic Forecasts Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance. Economic policy makers base their decisions on business cycle forecasts, investment decisions of firms are based on demand forecasts, and portfolio managers try to outperform the market based on financial market forecasts. Forecasts extract relevant information from the past and help to reduce the inherent uncertainty of the future. The topic of this special issue of the Journal of Economics and Statistics is the theory and practise of forecasting and forecast evaluation and an overview of the state of the art of forecasting.
Author | : Percival White |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 288 |
Release | : 1926 |
Genre | : Budget |
ISBN | : |
Download Forecasting, Planning and Budgeting in Business Management Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
Author | : Lawrence Robert Klein |
Publisher | : Edward Elgar Publishing |
Total Pages | : 400 |
Release | : 2009-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1849802165 |
Download The Making of National Economic Forecasts Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
In this valuable volume, Nobel Prize-winner Klein gathers together a group of authors who focus on forecasting models for a number of economies. The variety of the models and the structural differences among them are especially interesting. . . Readers interested in forecasting methodologies will find much of value in this volume. Highly recommended. I. Walter, Choice This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecast users and also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.
Author | : National Research Council |
Publisher | : National Academies Press |
Total Pages | : 189 |
Release | : 1999-05-27 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 030917340X |
Download Making Climate Forecasts Matter Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle
El Nino has been with us for centuries, but now we can forcast it, and thus can prepare far in advance for the extreme climatic events it brings. The emerging ability to forecast climate may be of tremendous value to humanity if we learn how to use the information well. How does society cope with seasonal-to-interannual climatic variations? How have climate forecasts been usedâ€"and how useful have they been? What kinds of forecast information are needed? Who is likely to benefit from forecasting skill? What are the benefits of better forecasting? This book reviews what we know about these and other questions and identifies research directions toward more useful seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts. In approaching their recommendations, the panel explores: Vulnerability of human activities to climate. State of the science of climate forecasting. How societies coevolved with their climates and cope with variations in climate. How climate information should be disseminated to achieve the best response. How we can use forecasting to better manage the human consequences of climate change.