A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows

A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows
Author: Mr. Peter B. Clark
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 72
Release: 2004-09-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1452733872

Download A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade flows was examined by a 1984 IMF study on G-7 countries. Over the past two decades, many developments in the world economy, such as the currency crises in the 1990s and increasing cross-border capital flows, may have exacerbated exchange rate volatility, while others, such as a deepening of the market in foreign exchange hedging instruments, may have reduced the impact of volatility on trade flows. Using recent advances in the economic theories on trade and in statistical methodologies, this paper revisits this important issue by taking into account these new developments and examining their effects on developing and transition economies, as well as on developed countries.

A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows

A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows
Author: Peter Barton Clark
Publisher: Occasional Papers
Total Pages: 63
Release: 2004
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781589063587

Download A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade flows was examined by a 1984 IMF study on G-7 countries. Over the past two decades, many developments in the world economy, such as the currency crises in the 1990s and increasing cross-border capital flows, may have exacerbated exchange rate volatility, while others, such as a deepening of the market in foreign exchange hedging instruments, may have reduced the impact of volatility on trade flows. Using recent advances in the economic theories on trade and in statistical methodologies, this paper revisits this important issue by taking into account these new developments and examining their effects on developing and transition economies, as well as on developed countries.

Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade

Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 76
Release: 1984-07-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781557750655

Download Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

In View of the continuation of substantial movements in exchange rate relationships among major currencies, the recent increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about the possible adverse effects of exchange rate variability on trade. Against the background of this concern, the following decision was reached at the ministerial meeting of the General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in November 1982.

Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Trade Flows

Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Trade Flows
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 28
Release: 1998-08-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451852959

Download Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Trade Flows Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper analyzes the effects of exchange rate volatility on bilateral trade flows. Through use of a gravity model and panel data from western Europe, exchange rate uncertainty is found to have a negative effect on international trade. The results seem to be robust with respect to the particular measures representing exchange rate uncertainty. Particular attention is reserved for problems of simultaneous causality. The negative correlation between trade and bilateral volatility remains significant after controlling for the simultaneity bias. However, a Hausman test rejects the hypothesis of the absence of simultaneous causality.