Real Business Cycle Models in Economics

Real Business Cycle Models in Economics
Author: Warren Young
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 240
Release: 2014-01-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317934032

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The purpose of this book is to describe the intellectual process by which Real Business Cycle models were developed. The approach taken focuses on the core elements in the development of RBC models: (i) building blocks, (ii) catalysts, and (iii) meta-syntheses. This is done by detailed examination of all available unpublished variorum drafts of the key papers in the RBC story, so as to determine the origins of the ideas. The analysis of the process their discovery is then set out followed by explanations of the evolution and dissemination of the models, from first generation papers through full blown research programs. This is supplemented by interviews and correspondence with the individuals who were at the center of the development of RBC models, such as Kydland, Prescott, Long, Plosser, King, Lucas and Barro, among others. This book gets stright to the heart of the debates surrounding RBC models and as such contributes to a real assessment of their impact on modern macroeconomics. The volume, therefore, will interest all scholars looking at macroeconomics as well as historians of economic thought more generally.

Real Business Cycles

Real Business Cycles
Author: James Hartley
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 684
Release: 2013-07-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1134694792

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Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles
Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2020-05-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513536990

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Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Political Economy, Growth, and Business Cycles

Political Economy, Growth, and Business Cycles
Author: Alex Cukierman
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 430
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262031943

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These original contributions by some of today's leading macroeconomists and political economists explore a broad spectrum of social, political, and technological variables that encourage or impede economic growth. What political and economic factors stimulate growth and make an economy expand? These original contributions by some of today's leading macroeconomists and political economists explore a broad spectrum of social, political, and technological variables that encourage or impede economic growth. Topics range from economic reform and price flexibility to the economic effects of political coups and include both theoretical analysis and empirical results.During the past decade, economists have seen important new developments linking growth and business cycles to government policy. These contributions provide a clear understanding of these processes and their effect in shaping economic policy. They look at the welfare side of economics and offer strong economic models to explain the connection between social policies and economic growth. For example, John Londregan and Keith Poole address the economic effects of political coups, Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini explore the question of whether inequality is harmful for growth, and Stephen Parente and Edward Prescott look at the role of technology adoption in stimulating growth.The essays cover a wide range of approaches. Several focus on the interaction between growth and the choice of policy, where policy reacts to economic and distributional considerations through a majority rule process. Others take the policy as given and focus on the empirical estimation of the speed of convergence of rates of growth across states and regions and the importance of externalities and knowledge spillovers for rates of growth. Essays about the business cycle fall into two broad categories. One, arising from the new political economy tradition, examines the effects of elections and price decontrols on the business cycle. The other explores the implications of optimal economic policies in a representative agent framework for the cyclical behavior of the economy.

Advances in Business Cycle Research

Advances in Business Cycle Research
Author: Pierre-Yves Henin
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 42
Release: 1995-06-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9783540592297

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Models derived from the Real Business Cycle perspective have recently taken a major place in business cycle research. The papers in this present volume bring three contributions to this research programme: A critical evaluation of the canonical RBC models, new elements of empirical relevance, based on comparative calibration and testing, and new specifications, at the frontier of business cycle research, coping with non walrasian features, contracts and nominal rigidities, unemployment and growth.

Two Essays on Business Cycle Models

Two Essays on Business Cycle Models
Author: Tamon Takamura
Publisher:
Total Pages: 68
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

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Abstract: Canonical business cycle theories are incapable of explaining some recent patterns in the data. My research explores generalizations of them towards a resolution of these empirical anomalies. The first chapter, "An Empirical Evaluation of Sticky Information in a Two-Sector Model with Durable Goods," examines the empirical plausibility of the model developed by Kitamura and Takamura (2008), which presents a solution to the negative comovement problem discussed by Barsky, House and Kimball (BHK, 2007). Using the theoretical model presented by Kitamura and Takamura (2008), I compare impulse response functions in the model with those obtained from a structural VAR. Model-implied impulse response functions for sectoral output and inflation fit data well, for both durable and nondurable goods, over the period 1980Q1-2007Q4. Moreover, the minimum distance estimate of the degree of sticky information is 0.70, which is lower than the value used by Mankiw and Reis (2002) in their one-sector economy. This suggests that sticky information and firm-specific factors offer both a simple method to correct for the BHK puzzle and a useful strategy to generate plausible impulse responses in a two-sector economy. In the second chapter, "A General Equilibrium Model with Banks and Default on Loans," I develop a model to explain aggregate business cycle patterns in the U.S. after 1990. A particular interest of this chapter is to analyze the interaction between banks and the real sector. During the recent financial crisis, banks reduced new business lending amidst concerns about borrowers' ability to repay. At the same time, firms facing higher borrowing costs alongside a worsening economic outlook reduced investment. My model explicitly introduces banks into a business cycle model. I assume that a banks' ability to raise deposits is constrained by a limited commitment problem and that, furthermore, loans to firms involve default risk. In this environment, changes in loan rates affect the size of the business sector. I explore how banks influence the behavior of households and firms and find that both productivity and financial shocks lead to counter-cyclical default and interest rate spreads. I examine the implications of a government capital injection designed to mitigate the effect of negative productivity and financial shocks in the spirit of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). I find that the stabilizing effect of such policy interventions hinges on the source of the shock. In particular, a capital injection is less effective against aggregate productivity shocks because easing banks' lending stance only weakly stimulates firms' demand for loans when aggregate productivity falls. In contrast, a capital injection can counteract the adverse effect of financial shocks on the supply of loans. Finally, I measure aggregate productivity and financial shocks to evaluate the role of each in the business cycle. I find that the contribution of aggregate productivity shocks in aggregate output and investment is large until mid-2008. Financial shocks explains 65% of the fall in investment and 55% of the fall in output in the first quarter of 2009.

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research
Author: Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 452
Release: 1995-02-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780691043234

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This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t