Balance Sheet Analysis in Fund Surveillance - Reference Note

Balance Sheet Analysis in Fund Surveillance - Reference Note
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 82
Release: 2015-07-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498344348

Download Balance Sheet Analysis in Fund Surveillance - Reference Note Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This note serves as a reference for balance sheet analysis, which should be read in conjunction with the IMF board paper on Balance Sheet Analysis in Fund Surveillance. It provides a: compendium of good examples of balance sheet analysis from both bilateral and multilateral surveillance, covering a variety of topics; full listing of available balance sheet related macro datasets, including their relevance for surveillance, remaining limitations, and remedial measures being undertaken; summary of data availability for each Fund member; compilation of all the tools for balance sheet analysis developed by the Fund over the last decade; and toolkit featuring some new empirical applications that could help deepen balance sheet analysis in surveillance. These include illustrations of how to construct and use BSA matrices, general equilibrium and reduced form approaches, as well as tools to analyze sectoral vulnerabilities using micro data.

Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance

Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance
Author: Mr.Johan Mathisen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2007-03-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1589066049

Download Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

A distinguishing feature of emerging market crises in recent years has been the sudden disruption in the capital accounts of the economy. These crises have highlighted the need for closer attention to macroeconomic vulnerabilities in sectoral balance sheets. This book enhances application of the balance sheet approach to surveillance by taking advantage of new data sets that provide detailed, frequent, and timely financial statistics.

Guidance Note for Surveillance Under Article IV Consultations

Guidance Note for Surveillance Under Article IV Consultations
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2015-03-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498344844

Download Guidance Note for Surveillance Under Article IV Consultations Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This note provides country teams with guidance on bilateral and multilateral surveillance in the context of Article IV consultations. It covers the following issues: Focus on stability. Stability is the organizing principle of surveillance. Article IV consultations should focus on the conduct of economic and financial policies pursued by members to promote present and prospective domestic and balance of payments stability, as well as global economic and financial stability. For the latter, Article IV consultations should discuss spillovers from members’ economic and financial policies that may significantly affect global stability, including alternative policy options that would minimize their adverse impact. Operational guidance. The note provides detailed guidance, suggestions and references in areas covered in surveillance including risks and spillovers, fiscal policy, macrofinancial and monetary policy, BOP stability, structural policies and data issues. Communication and Engagement. Effective two-way communication is key to surveillance, including with the authorities (to help staff’s advice get traction), the Executive Board (to support effective peer review), and the public and other stakeholders (to gain support for necessary policy adjustments). Surveillance messages need to be clear, concise, and focused. The Fund needs to be evenhanded, in line with the principle of uniformity of treatment, for surveillance to command the confidence of the membership. Process and formal requirements. A number of procedures, rules, and requirements are summarized in this note.

Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance

Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance
Author: Mr.Johan Mathisen
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2006-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781451863604

Download Using the Balance Sheet Approach in Surveillance Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Recent improvements in statistical methodologies and data availability are facilitating detailed, high-frequency, timely macroeconomic balance sheet analysis. This paper provides practical instruction on how to design the framework to analyze vulnerabilities in a country as well as an overview of data sources that can be employed for this analysis. The paper also discusses how these new datasets are enhancing surveillance activities related to balance sheet vulnerabilities.

Behind the Scenes with Data at the IMF

Behind the Scenes with Data at the IMF
Author: International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 80
Release: 2016-04-16
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1484335848

Download Behind the Scenes with Data at the IMF Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This report examines whether the IMF has effectively leveraged an important asset: data. It finds that in general, the IMF has been able to rely on a large amount of data of acceptable quality, and that data provision from member countries has improved markedly over time. Nonetheless, problems with data or data practices have, at times, adversely affected the IMF’s surveillance and lending activities. The roots of data problems are diverse, ranging from problems due to member countries’ capacity constraints or reluctance to share sensitive data to internal issues such as lack of appropriate staff incentives, institutional rigidities, and long-standing work practices. Efforts to tackle these problems are piecemeal, the report finds, without a clear comprehensive strategy that recognizes data as an institutional strategic asset, not just a consumption good for economists. The report makes a number of recommendations that could promote greater progress in this regard.

G-20 Data Gaps Initiative II

G-20 Data Gaps Initiative II
Author: Mr.Robert M. Heath
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2016-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513532278

Download G-20 Data Gaps Initiative II Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The G-20 Data Gaps Initiative (DGI), which aimed at addressing the information needs that were revealed by the 2007/2008 global financial crisis, concluded its first phase and started a second phase (DGI-2) with the endorsement of G-20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in September 2015. The DGI-2 recommendations maintain the continuity of DGI-1 but reflecting the evolving policy needs focus more on datasets that support the monitoring of risks in the financial sector and the analysis of the inter-linkages across the economic and financial systems. The paper presents the DGI as an overarching initiative, bringing together various statistical frameworks for a complete picture of the economic and financial system to support the work of policy makers.

Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems

Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems
Author: Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2010-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455200662

Download Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The 2008/9 financial crisis highlighted the importance of evaluating vulnerabilities owing to interconnectedness, or Too-Connected-to-Fail risk, among financial institutions for country monitoring, financial surveillance, investment analysis and risk management purposes. This paper illustrates the use of balance sheet-based network analysis to evaluate interconnectedness risk, under extreme adverse scenarios, in banking systems in mature and emerging market countries, and between individual banks in Chile, an advanced emerging market economy.

A Closer Look at Sectoral Financial Linkages in Brazil I

A Closer Look at Sectoral Financial Linkages in Brazil I
Author: Ms.Izabela Karpowicz
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2016-03-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513536885

Download A Closer Look at Sectoral Financial Linkages in Brazil I Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Understanding the interplay between firms’ balance sheets and the macro-economic environment is important for understanding of the Brazilian economy. A close examination of developments in the nonfinancial corporate sector up to the early 2015 reveals weak equity growth, declining profitability, and rising leverage. The empirical work suggests that adverse shocks to financial variables lead to weaker real GDP growth in Brazil through their effect on corporate leverage, borrowing costs, and default frequencies. An estimation based on a DSGE model with financial frictions indicates that the recent economic downturn in Brazil is largely driven by a decrease in total factor productivity and by negative financial shocks.

Brazil

Brazil
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 96
Release: 2016-11-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475553307

Download Brazil Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

This paper describes South Africa’s economic development and challenges. South Africa has made considerable economic and social progress over the past two decades, but faces substantial challenges. Global transitions—China’s slowdown and rebalancing, weak commodity prices, and U.S. monetary policy normalization—are taking a heavy toll on South Africa. Growth and employment, which were already low, are faltering and continue to underperform peer countries. Vulnerabilities remain elevated and have increased in the real and fiscal sectors. Boosting growth and job creation, thus reducing extremely high unemployment and inequality, and promoting social transformation remain South Africa’s key challenges.

Cross-Border Financial Surveillance

Cross-Border Financial Surveillance
Author: Marco A Espinosa-Vega
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2010-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455200646

Download Cross-Border Financial Surveillance Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

Effective cross-border financial surveillance requires the monitoring of direct and indirect systemic linkages. This paper illustrates how network analysis could make a significant contribution in this regard by simulating different credit and funding shocks to the banking systems of a number of selected countries. After that, we show that the inclusion of risk transfers could modify the risk profile of entire financial systems, and thus an enriched simulation algorithm able to account for risk transfers is proposed. Finally, we discuss how some of the limitations of our simulations are a reflection of existing information and data gaps, and thus view these shortcomings as a call to improve the collection and analysis of data on cross-border financial exposures.