Agent-Based Modeling

Agent-Based Modeling
Author: Norman Ehrentreich
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 238
Release: 2007-10-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3540738789

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This book reconciles the existence of technical trading with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. By analyzing a well-known agent-based model, the Santa Fe Institute Artificial Stock Market (SFI-ASM), it finds that when selective forces are weak, financial evolution cannot guarantee that only the fittest trading rules will survive. Its main contribution lies in the application of standard results from population genetics which have widely been neglected in the agent-based community.

Artificial Markets Modeling

Artificial Markets Modeling
Author: Andrea Consiglio
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 279
Release: 2009-09-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9783540839682

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This volume features contributions to agent-based computational modeling from the social sciences and computer sciences. It presents applications of methodologies and tools, focusing on the uses, requirements, and constraints of agent-based models used by social scientists. Topics include agent-based macroeconomics, the emergence of norms and conventions, the dynamics of social and economic networks, and behavioral models in financial markets.

Artificial Markets Modeling

Artificial Markets Modeling
Author: Andrea Consiglio
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 277
Release: 2007-08-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3540731342

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This volume features contributions to agent-based computational modeling from the social sciences and computer sciences. It presents applications of methodologies and tools, focusing on the uses, requirements, and constraints of agent-based models used by social scientists. Topics include agent-based macroeconomics, the emergence of norms and conventions, the dynamics of social and economic networks, and behavioral models in financial markets.

Artificial Markets Modeling

Artificial Markets Modeling
Author: Andrea Consiglio
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 277
Release: 2007-08-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3540731350

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This volume features contributions to agent-based computational modeling from the social sciences and computer sciences. It presents applications of methodologies and tools, focusing on the uses, requirements, and constraints of agent-based models used by social scientists. Topics include agent-based macroeconomics, the emergence of norms and conventions, the dynamics of social and economic networks, and behavioral models in financial markets.

Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods

Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods
Author: Tshilidzi Marwala
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 271
Release: 2013-04-02
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1447150104

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Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods examines the application of artificial intelligence methods to model economic data. Traditionally, economic modeling has been modeled in the linear domain where the principles of superposition are valid. The application of artificial intelligence for economic modeling allows for a flexible multi-order non-linear modeling. In addition, game theory has largely been applied in economic modeling. However, the inherent limitation of game theory when dealing with many player games encourages the use of multi-agent systems for modeling economic phenomena. The artificial intelligence techniques used to model economic data include: multi-layer perceptron neural networks radial basis functions support vector machines rough sets genetic algorithm particle swarm optimization simulated annealing multi-agent system incremental learning fuzzy networks Signal processing techniques are explored to analyze economic data, and these techniques are the time domain methods, time-frequency domain methods and fractals dimension approaches. Interesting economic problems such as causality versus correlation, simulating the stock market, modeling and controling inflation, option pricing, modeling economic growth as well as portfolio optimization are examined. The relationship between economic dependency and interstate conflict is explored, and knowledge on how economics is useful to foster peace – and vice versa – is investigated. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods deals with the issue of causality in the non-linear domain and applies the automatic relevance determination, the evidence framework, Bayesian approach and Granger causality to understand causality and correlation. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods makes an important contribution to the area of econometrics, and is a valuable source of reference for graduate students, researchers and financial practitioners.

Artificial Intelligence in Financial Markets

Artificial Intelligence in Financial Markets
Author: Christian L. Dunis
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 349
Release: 2016-11-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137488808

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As technology advancement has increased, so to have computational applications for forecasting, modelling and trading financial markets and information, and practitioners are finding ever more complex solutions to financial challenges. Neural networking is a highly effective, trainable algorithmic approach which emulates certain aspects of human brain functions, and is used extensively in financial forecasting allowing for quick investment decision making. This book presents the most cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI)/neural networking applications for markets, assets and other areas of finance. Split into four sections, the book first explores time series analysis for forecasting and trading across a range of assets, including derivatives, exchange traded funds, debt and equity instruments. This section will focus on pattern recognition, market timing models, forecasting and trading of financial time series. Section II provides insights into macro and microeconomics and how AI techniques could be used to better understand and predict economic variables. Section III focuses on corporate finance and credit analysis providing an insight into corporate structures and credit, and establishing a relationship between financial statement analysis and the influence of various financial scenarios. Section IV focuses on portfolio management, exploring applications for portfolio theory, asset allocation and optimization. This book also provides some of the latest research in the field of artificial intelligence and finance, and provides in-depth analysis and highly applicable tools and techniques for practitioners and researchers in this field.

Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets

Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets
Author: Hajime Kita
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 205
Release: 2016-07-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 4431550577

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This book takes up unique agent-based approaches to solving problems related to stock and their derivative markets. Toward this end, the authors have worked for more than 15 years on the development of an artificial market simulator called U-Mart for use as a research and educational tool. A noteworthy feature of the U-Mart simulator compared to other artificial market simulators is that U-Mart is an ultra-realistic artificial stock and their derivative market simulator. For example, it can simulate “arrowhead,” a next-generation trading system used in the Tokyo Stock Exchange and other major markets, as it takes into consideration the institutional design of the entire market. Another interesting feature of the U-Mart simulator is that it permits both human and computer programs to participate simultaneously as traders in the artificial market. In this book, first the details of U-Mart are explained, enabling readers to install and run the simulator on their computers for research and educational purposes. The simulator thus can be used for gaming simulation of the artificial market and even for users as agents to implement their own trading strategies for agent-based simulation (ABS).The book also presents selected research cases using the U-Mart simulator. Here, topics include automated acquisition of trading strategy using artificial intelligence techniques, evaluation of a market maker system to treat thin markets such as those for small and regional businesses, systemic risk analysis of the financial market considering institutional design of the market, and analysis of how humans behave and learn in gaming simulation. New perspectives on artificial market research are provided, and the power, potential, and challenge of ABS are discussed. As explained in this important work, ABS is considered to be an effective tool as the third approach of social science, an alternative to traditional literary and mathematical approaches.

The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance

The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance
Author: Shu-Heng Chen
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 785
Release: 2018-01-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0190877502

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The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance provides a survey of both the foundations of and recent advances in the frontiers of analysis and action. It is both historically and interdisciplinarily rich and also tightly connected to the rise of digital society. It begins with the conventional view of computational economics, including recent algorithmic development in computing rational expectations, volatility, and general equilibrium. It then moves from traditional computing in economics and finance to recent developments in natural computing, including applications of nature-inspired intelligence, genetic programming, swarm intelligence, and fuzzy logic. Also examined are recent developments of network and agent-based computing in economics. How these approaches are applied is examined in chapters on such subjects as trading robots and automated markets. The last part deals with the epistemology of simulation in its trinity form with the integration of simulation, computation, and dynamics. Distinctive is the focus on natural computationalism and the examination of the implications of intelligent machines for the future of computational economics and finance. Not merely individual robots, but whole integrated systems are extending their "immigration" to the world of Homo sapiens, or symbiogenesis.

Artificial Intelligence for Financial Markets

Artificial Intelligence for Financial Markets
Author: Thomas Barrau
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 182
Release: 2022-05-31
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3030973190

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This book introduces the novel artificial intelligence technique of polymodels and applies it to the prediction of stock returns. The idea of polymodels is to describe a system by its sensitivities to an environment, and to monitor it, imitating what a natural brain does spontaneously. In practice this involves running a collection of non-linear univariate models. This very powerful standalone technique has several advantages over traditional multivariate regressions. With its easy to interpret results, this method provides an ideal preliminary step towards the traditional neural network approach. The first two chapters compare the technique with other regression alternatives and introduces an estimation method which regularizes a polynomial regression using cross-validation. The rest of the book applies these ideas to financial markets. Certain equity return components are predicted using polymodels in very different ways, and a genetic algorithm is described which combines these different predictions into a single portfolio, aiming to optimize the portfolio returns net of transaction costs. Addressed to investors at all levels of experience this book will also be of interest to both seasoned and non-seasoned statisticians.

Artificial Economics

Artificial Economics
Author: Ruben Mercado
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2021-11-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1316517098

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An introductory overview of the methods, models and interdisciplinary links of artificial economics. Addresses the differences between the assumptions and methods of artificial economics and those of mainstream economics. This is one of the first books to fully address, in an intuitive and conceptual form, this new way of doing economics.