A Typology of Foreign Exchange Auction Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa

A Typology of Foreign Exchange Auction Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa
Author: Ron Hood
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this analytical sequel to quot;A Typology of Foreign Exchange Auction Markets in sub-Saharan Africaquot; , the authors compare the micromanagement of different foreign exchange auctions in sub-Saharan Africa. Multi-unit auctions for foreign exchange were introduced in a number of countries in the 1980s and 1990s, in a transitional step toward a credible, sustainable, unified regime, such as efficient interbank market. But there is little understanding of how auction markets function in sub-Saharan Africa, and there has been virtually no research on the causes of frequent policy reversals or of auction failure. One possible cause of failure -- apart from thin markets, macroeconomic laxity, and vulnerability to terms-of-trade shocks and fluctuations in the disbursement of foreign aid -- is the inappropriate design and management of auctions. The authors estimate models for the microdeterminants of the auction rate, using weekly data on foreign exchange auctions for Ghana, Nigeria, Uganda, and Zambia. Among the policy lessons: 1) Nigeria and Zambia failed to unify and stabilize the exchange rate partly because there was no reserve price rule. When bidders learn such a rule, speculative bidding diminishes. 2) The management of a credible, sustainable reserve price policy requires an efficient secondary market. A simple underlying model, synthesized from the theoretical literature on auctions, specifies the auction rate as a function of fundamental variables and structural shift dummies. The repeated, sequential nature of these multi-unit auctions and the nonstationary nature of most of the auction variables are captured empirically by a cointegrated (error connection) framework. In addition to consistently estimating long-run and short-run parameters of auction fundamentals, the error correction model allows asymptotically efficient testing of three policy hypotheses deriving from auction theory: the competitiveness hypothesis, the effect of uncertainty on the auction-determined rate, and the revenue-equivalence hypothesis. In other words, they used these models to test the impact on the level of the auction rate of increased comptetition among bidders, of the effect of uncertainty (proxied by a volatile supply of foreign exchange), and of different pricing mechanisms.

Black Markets for Foreign Exchange, Real Exchange Rates, and Inflation

Black Markets for Foreign Exchange, Real Exchange Rates, and Inflation
Author: Brian Pinto
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 37
Release: 1988
Genre: Black market
ISBN:

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Inflation could rise permanently and substantially as a result of unifying official and black market exchange rates, even if real government spending remains constant.

The Liberalization of Foreign Exchange Markets and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

The Liberalization of Foreign Exchange Markets and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
Author: Nguyuru Haruna Ibrahim Lipumba
Publisher:
Total Pages: 76
Release: 1997
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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The Liberalization of Foreign Exchange Markets & Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa offers an historical rationale for intervention in foreign exchange markets to promote long-term development. It also reviews exchange rate theory & balance of payments management & their application to African countries. The publication is part of the Research for Action series which discusses policy-oriented research on the main strategic issues of development & international cooperation, as well as on the interaction between domestic & global changes.

The Reform of Mechanisms for Foreign Exchange Allocation

The Reform of Mechanisms for Foreign Exchange Allocation
Author: Eliana La Ferrara
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 64
Release: 1994
Genre: Foreign exchange
ISBN:

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The paper provides an analysis of the mechanisms for foreign exchange allocation used in trade policy reform and an assessment of their effectiveness. The case is strong for avoiding delay in moving to full currency convertibility in dismantling or modifying foreign exchange controls. Movement to a unified free market for exchange would be facilitated by changes in policies and in donor practice, so exchange can be channeled through private sellers.

Foreign Exchange Auctions and Fixings

Foreign Exchange Auctions and Fixings
Author: Arto Kovanen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 64
Release: 1994
Genre: Foreign exchange administration
ISBN:

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Working Paper Series

Working Paper Series
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 460
Release: 199?
Genre: Economics
ISBN:

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World Bank Research Program

World Bank Research Program
Author: World Bank
Publisher:
Total Pages: 236
Release: 1995
Genre: Economic assistance
ISBN:

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